Next leader out of power before 2027?
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Maduro - Venezuela President 100.0%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President <1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP <1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM <1%
$1,525,514 Vol.
$1,525,514 Vol.
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
No
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
No
Netanyahu - Israel PM
No
Newsom - California Governor
No
Starmer - UK PM
No
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
No
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
No
Lecornu - France PM
No
Takaichi - Japan PM
No
None before 2027
No
Merz - German Chancellor
No
Macron - France President
No
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
No
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
No
Albanese - Australia PM
No
Milei - Argentina President
No
Trump - USA President
No
Putin - Russia President
No
al-Assad - Syria President
No
Maduro - Venezuela President
Yes
Schoof - Netherlands PM
No
Abbas - President of Palestine
No
Sánchez - Spanish PM
No
Maduro - Venezuela President 100.0%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President <1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP <1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM <1%
$1,525,514 Vol.
$1,525,514 Vol.
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
No
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
No
Netanyahu - Israel PM
No
Newsom - California Governor
No
Starmer - UK PM
No
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
No
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
No
Lecornu - France PM
No
Takaichi - Japan PM
No
None before 2027
No
Merz - German Chancellor
No
Macron - France President
No
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
No
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
No
Albanese - Australia PM
No
Milei - Argentina President
No
Trump - USA President
No
Putin - Russia President
No
al-Assad - Syria President
No
Maduro - Venezuela President
Yes
Schoof - Netherlands PM
No
Abbas - President of Palestine
No
Sánchez - Spanish PM
No
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:45 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No




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