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Economy·Culture

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Market icon
Economy·Culture

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

98% chance
Polymarket

$20,383 Vol.

98% chance
Polymarket

$20,383 Vol.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair - Jerome Powell federally charged - Jerome Powell arrested Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHJeromePowellEdition.pdf

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation
and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair
- Jerome Powell federally charged
- Jerome Powell arrested

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHJeromePowellEdition.pdf
Volume
$20,383
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair - Jerome Powell federally charged - Jerome Powell arrested Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHJeromePowellEdition.pdf
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair - Jerome Powell federally charged - Jerome Powell arrested Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHJeromePowellEdition.pdf

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation
and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair
- Jerome Powell federally charged
- Jerome Powell arrested

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHJeromePowellEdition.pdf
Volume
$20,383
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair - Jerome Powell federally charged - Jerome Powell arrested Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHJeromePowellEdition.pdf

Related

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Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

5%
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Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

77%
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Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

4%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 98% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 98¢, the market collectively assigns a 98% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition" has generated $20.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition" is 98% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 98% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.