Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a record-shattering high of 82-83°F in Denver on March 26 at 27.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 80-81°F (18.5%) and 76-77°F (16%), reflecting tight uncertainty in forecast models amid a potent high-pressure ridge over the Rockies. National Weather Service guidance and recent GFS/ECMWF runs highlight downslope chinook winds accelerating adiabatic warming from the west, with clear skies enhancing solar heating on snow-free surfaces, but differing cloud cover projections and ridge axis positioning create divergence—some ensembles cap peaks near 80°F while others push 85°F. Climatologically rare for late March (monthly average ~55°F), this setup echoes 2012's 81°F benchmark; watch 00Z model updates and morning soundings for resolution-clarifying shifts in boundary layer mixing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on March 26?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 15%
76-77°F 15%
78-79°F 13%
$30,066 Vol.
$30,066 Vol.
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 15%
76-77°F 15%
78-79°F 13%
$30,066 Vol.
$30,066 Vol.
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a record-shattering high of 82-83°F in Denver on March 26 at 27.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 80-81°F (18.5%) and 76-77°F (16%), reflecting tight uncertainty in forecast models amid a potent high-pressure ridge over the Rockies. National Weather Service guidance and recent GFS/ECMWF runs highlight downslope chinook winds accelerating adiabatic warming from the west, with clear skies enhancing solar heating on snow-free surfaces, but differing cloud cover projections and ridge axis positioning create divergence—some ensembles cap peaks near 80°F while others push 85°F. Climatologically rare for late March (monthly average ~55°F), this setup echoes 2012's 81°F benchmark; watch 00Z model updates and morning soundings for resolution-clarifying shifts in boundary layer mixing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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