Trader consensus heavily favors an 86-87°F high in Denver on March 25, with 97% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF converging on this narrow range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies. Adiabatic warming from downslope chinook winds, combined with clear skies and dry soils enhancing daytime heating, supports this positioning, as upper-air analysis shows 500-millibar heights anomalously high for late March climatology. Recent 24-hour model updates show minimal spread, reinforcing stability. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level moisture influx causing cloud cover or an early cold frontal passage, though current steering patterns make these low-likelihood scenarios. Watch afternoon soundings and satellite imagery for intraday shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on March 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 25?
86-87°F 98.5%
88-89°F 1.4%
90-91°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$61,645 Vol.
$61,645 Vol.
86-87°F
99%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 98.5%
88-89°F 1.4%
90-91°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$61,645 Vol.
$61,645 Vol.
86-87°F
99%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors an 86-87°F high in Denver on March 25, with 97% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF converging on this narrow range amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies. Adiabatic warming from downslope chinook winds, combined with clear skies and dry soils enhancing daytime heating, supports this positioning, as upper-air analysis shows 500-millibar heights anomalously high for late March climatology. Recent 24-hour model updates show minimal spread, reinforcing stability. Realistic challenges include unexpected low-level moisture influx causing cloud cover or an early cold frontal passage, though current steering patterns make these low-likelihood scenarios. Watch afternoon soundings and satellite imagery for intraday shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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