Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 27 - February 3, 2026?

Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets January 27 - February 3, 2026?

340-359 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$17,590,443 Vol.

340-359 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$17,590,443 Vol.

<20

$359,783 Vol.

No

20-39

$399,628 Vol.

No

40-59

$125,679 Vol.

No

60-79

$260,188 Vol.

No

80-99

$433,540 Vol.

No

100-119

$461,439 Vol.

No

120-139

$239,247 Vol.

No

140-159

$242,737 Vol.

No

160-179

$154,591 Vol.

No

180-199

$178,569 Vol.

No

200-219

$263,412 Vol.

No

220-239

$302,577 Vol.

No

240-259

$470,827 Vol.

No

260-279

$764,784 Vol.

No

280-299

$695,557 Vol.

No

300-319

$1,332,140 Vol.

No

320-339

$1,336,977 Vol.

No

340-359

$1,410,395 Vol.

Yes

360-379

$1,209,905 Vol.

No

380-399

$1,154,749 Vol.

No

400-419

$722,052 Vol.

No

420-439

$635,963 Vol.

No

440-459

$486,844 Vol.

No

460-479

$432,823 Vol.

No

480-499

$454,514 Vol.

No

500-519

$405,143 Vol.

No

520-539

$410,853 Vol.

No

540-559

$339,670 Vol.

No

560-579

$344,647 Vol.

No

580-599

$244,090 Vol.

No

600-619

$183,580 Vol.

No

620-639

$172,884 Vol.

No

640-659

$157,749 Vol.

No

660-679

$151,528 Vol.

No

680-699

$176,574 Vol.

No

700-719

$170,885 Vol.

No

720-739

$129,997 Vol.

No

740+

$173,924 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 27 12:00 PM ET to February 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$17,590,443
End Date
Feb 3, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 27 12:00 PM ET to February 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets January 27 - February 3, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 38 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "340-359" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets January 27 - February 3, 2026?" has generated $17.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets January 27 - February 3, 2026?," browse the 38 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets January 27 - February 3, 2026?" is "340-359" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets January 27 - February 3, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.