Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025?

Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025?

260-279 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$16,705,039 Vol.

260-279 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$16,705,039 Vol.

<20

$178,913 Vol.

No

20-39

$79,896 Vol.

No

40-59

$100,599 Vol.

No

60-79

$122,837 Vol.

No

80-99

$186,108 Vol.

No

100-119

$191,364 Vol.

No

120-139

$235,189 Vol.

No

140-159

$365,671 Vol.

No

160-179

$602,672 Vol.

No

180-199

$1,406,028 Vol.

No

200-219

$1,567,605 Vol.

No

220-239

$938,916 Vol.

No

240-259

$1,538,877 Vol.

No

260-279

$1,030,994 Vol.

Yes

280-299

$1,069,182 Vol.

No

300-319

$891,582 Vol.

No

320-339

$791,810 Vol.

No

340-359

$1,010,690 Vol.

No

360-379

$793,782 Vol.

No

380-399

$490,510 Vol.

No

400-419

$499,748 Vol.

No

420-439

$519,638 Vol.

No

440-459

$516,143 Vol.

No

460-479

$465,075 Vol.

No

480-499

$456,223 Vol.

No

500+

$654,987 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 9 12:00 PM ET to December 16, 2025 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$16,705,039
End Date
Dec 16, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 6, 2025, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 9 12:00 PM ET to December 16, 2025 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "260-279" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025?" has generated $16.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025?" is "260-279" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets December 9 - December 16, 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.