Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in detention at Seoul Detention Centre following his February 19, 2026, life sentence for leading an insurrection linked to the December 2024 martial law declaration, driving the 92.8% "No" probability on pre-2027 release. A January court extended his custody warrant amid ongoing trials, including a five-year term for related martial law charges and appeal hearings starting March 4 in an obstruction case. Special prosecutors pursued severe penalties without remorse shown, while procedural delays and the gravity of rebellion offenses—rarely overturned swiftly—cement trader consensus, though a full appeal reversal or executive pardon could theoretically shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
はい
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in detention at Seoul Detention Centre following his February 19, 2026, life sentence for leading an insurrection linked to the December 2024 martial law declaration, driving the 92.8% "No" probability on pre-2027 release. A January court extended his custody warrant amid ongoing trials, including a five-year term for related martial law charges and appeal hearings starting March 4 in an obstruction case. Special prosecutors pursued severe penalties without remorse shown, while procedural delays and the gravity of rebellion offenses—rarely overturned swiftly—cement trader consensus, though a full appeal reversal or executive pardon could theoretically shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
音量
$3,214終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in detention at Seoul Detention Centre following his February 19, 2026, life sentence for leading an insurrection linked to the December 2024 martial law declaration, driving the 92.8% "No" probability on pre-2027 release. A January court extended his custody warrant amid ongoing trials, including a five-year term for related martial law charges and appeal hearings starting March 4 in an obstruction case. Special prosecutors pursued severe penalties without remorse shown, while procedural delays and the gravity of rebellion offenses—rarely overturned swiftly—cement trader consensus, though a full appeal reversal or executive pardon could theoretically shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$3,214終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in detention at Seoul Detention Centre following his February 19, 2026, life sentence for leading an insurrection linked to the December 2024 martial law declaration, driving the 92.8% "No" probability on pre-2027 release. A January court extended his custody warrant amid ongoing trials, including a five-year term for related martial law charges and appeal hearings starting March 4 in an obstruction case. Special prosecutors pursued severe penalties without remorse shown, while procedural delays and the gravity of rebellion offenses—rarely overturned swiftly—cement trader consensus, though a full appeal reversal or executive pardon could theoretically shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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