Skip to main content
icon for 何も起こらない:行進

何も起こらない:行進

icon for 何も起こらない:行進

何も起こらない:行進

何もない

61% 確率
Polymarket

$338,774 Vol.

何もない

61% 確率
Polymarket

$338,774 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus favors Nothing at 60.5% for the March market, reflecting the absence of any specified triggers by March 31 amid geopolitical strains and domestic tensions. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18 FOMC meeting, citing persistent inflation from oil spikes tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict. Nationwide "No Kings" protests drew millions on March 28 without invocation of the Insurrection Act. The Iranian regime remains intact despite U.S. airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury and Supreme Leader Khamenei's reported death. The SAVE Act stalled in the Senate lacking 60 votes, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration. Uncertainty lingers over Texas Senate primaries—Democrat James Talarico won outright on March 3, while Republican John Cornyn advanced to a May 26 runoff with Ken Paxton—potentially delaying resolution until nominee clarity emerges.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
音量
$338,774
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus favors Nothing at 60.5% for the March market, reflecting the absence of any specified triggers by March 31 amid geopolitical strains and domestic tensions. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18 FOMC meeting, citing persistent inflation from oil spikes tied to the U.S.-Iran conflict. Nationwide "No Kings" protests drew millions on March 28 without invocation of the Insurrection Act. The Iranian regime remains intact despite U.S. airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury and Supreme Leader Khamenei's reported death. The SAVE Act stalled in the Senate lacking 60 votes, and President Trump issued no election interference national emergency declaration. Uncertainty lingers over Texas Senate primaries—Democrat James Talarico won outright on March 3, while Republican John Cornyn advanced to a May 26 runoff with Ken Paxton—potentially delaying resolution until nominee clarity emerges.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
音量
$338,774
終了日
2026/03/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「何も起こらない:行進」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「何も起こらない:3月」で61%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、61¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に61%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「何も起こらない:行進」は$338.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「何も起こらない:行進」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「何も起こらない:行進」の現在のフロントランナーは「何も起こらない:3月」で61%であり、市場がこの結果に61%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「何も起こらない:行進」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。