Traders view the near-even contest between “Other” at 48.0% and “Pause–Pause–Pause” at 42.5% as a reflection of balanced uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s path through October, with markets pricing in limited near-term easing. Persistent core inflation readings and a still-resilient labor market have tempered expectations for cuts, keeping the implied rate trajectory aligned with a cautious FOMC stance. Recent communications from policymakers and incoming data on CPI and employment have reinforced this equilibrium, while upcoming September and October meetings plus fresh economic releases remain the key swing factors that could shift positioning toward more aggressive easing or extended pauses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Other 48%
Pause–Pause–Pause 43%
Pause–Pause–Cut 3.0%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.4%
$667,871 Vol.
$667,871 Vol.
2026/10/28
Pause–Pause–Pause
43%
Pause–Pause–Cut
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
48%
Other 48%
Pause–Pause–Pause 43%
Pause–Pause–Cut 3.0%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.4%
$667,871 Vol.
$667,871 Vol.
2026/10/28
Pause–Pause–Pause
$226,184 Vol.
43%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$51,177 Vol.
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$31,993 Vol.
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$24,394 Vol.
1%
Other
$290,635 Vol.
48%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTraders view the near-even contest between “Other” at 48.0% and “Pause–Pause–Pause” at 42.5% as a reflection of balanced uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s path through October, with markets pricing in limited near-term easing. Persistent core inflation readings and a still-resilient labor market have tempered expectations for cuts, keeping the implied rate trajectory aligned with a cautious FOMC stance. Recent communications from policymakers and incoming data on CPI and employment have reinforced this equilibrium, while upcoming September and October meetings plus fresh economic releases remain the key swing factors that could shift positioning toward more aggressive easing or extended pauses.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
音量
$667,871終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTraders view the near-even contest between “Other” at 48.0% and “Pause–Pause–Pause” at 42.5% as a reflection of balanced uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s path through October, with markets pricing in limited near-term easing. Persistent core inflation readings and a still-resilient labor market have tempered expectations for cuts, keeping the implied rate trajectory aligned with a cautious FOMC stance. Recent communications from policymakers and incoming data on CPI and employment have reinforced this equilibrium, while upcoming September and October meetings plus fresh economic releases remain the key swing factors that could shift positioning toward more aggressive easing or extended pauses.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
音量
$667,871終了日
2026/10/28マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the near-even contest between “Other” at 48.0% and “Pause–Pause–Pause” at 42.5% as a reflection of balanced uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s path through October, with markets pricing in limited near-term easing. Persistent core inflation readings and a still-resilient labor market have tempered expectations for cuts, keeping the implied rate trajectory aligned with a cautious FOMC stance. Recent communications from policymakers and incoming data on CPI and employment have reinforced this equilibrium, while upcoming September and October meetings plus fresh economic releases remain the key swing factors that could shift positioning toward more aggressive easing or extended pauses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問