Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70–75% voter turnout at 99.7% implied probability for Slovenia's 22 March 2026 National Assembly election, driven by the official figure of 70.25% confirmed by the National Election Commission, aligning precisely with this range and mirroring the 2022 election's 70.96%—a rebound from prior lows of 35–52% in 2014–2018. The razor-thin contest between incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party, yielding a hung parliament, spurred high participation amid intense campaigning and coalition anticipation. With results finalized nearly two weeks post-election, only an improbable recount or overseas ballot revision could shift odds, though historical precedents show minimal post-certification adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日70–75% 99.5%
<60% <1%
65–70% <1%
60–65% <1%
$243,302 Vol.
$243,302 Vol.
2026/03/22
<60%
1%
60–65%
<1%
65–70%
<1%
70–75%
100%
75%+
<1%
70–75% 99.5%
<60% <1%
65–70% <1%
60–65% <1%
$243,302 Vol.
$243,302 Vol.
2026/03/22
<60%
$25,382 Vol.
1%
60–65%
$23,053 Vol.
<1%
65–70%
$90,648 Vol.
<1%
70–75%
$93,360 Vol.
100%
75%+
$10,858 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70–75% voter turnout at 99.7% implied probability for Slovenia's 22 March 2026 National Assembly election, driven by the official figure of 70.25% confirmed by the National Election Commission, aligning precisely with this range and mirroring the 2022 election's 70.96%—a rebound from prior lows of 35–52% in 2014–2018. The razor-thin contest between incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party, yielding a hung parliament, spurred high participation amid intense campaigning and coalition anticipation. With results finalized nearly two weeks post-election, only an improbable recount or overseas ballot revision could shift odds, though historical precedents show minimal post-certification adjustments.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
マーケット開始日： Mar 13, 2026, 11:32 AM ET
音量
$243,302終了日
2026/03/22マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 11:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70–75% voter turnout at 99.7% implied probability for Slovenia's 22 March 2026 National Assembly election, driven by the official figure of 70.25% confirmed by the National Election Commission, aligning precisely with this range and mirroring the 2022 election's 70.96%—a rebound from prior lows of 35–52% in 2014–2018. The razor-thin contest between incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party, yielding a hung parliament, spurred high participation amid intense campaigning and coalition anticipation. With results finalized nearly two weeks post-election, only an improbable recount or overseas ballot revision could shift odds, though historical precedents show minimal post-certification adjustments.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election, defined as the total number of ballots cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian Government, specifically the State Election Commission (https://www.dvk-rs.si/volitve-in-referendumi/drzavni-zbor-rs/).
音量
$243,302終了日
2026/03/22マーケット開始日
Mar 13, 2026, 11:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 70–75% voter turnout at 99.7% implied probability for Slovenia's 22 March 2026 National Assembly election, driven by the official figure of 70.25% confirmed by the National Election Commission, aligning precisely with this range and mirroring the 2022 election's 70.96%—a rebound from prior lows of 35–52% in 2014–2018. The razor-thin contest between incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party, yielding a hung parliament, spurred high participation amid intense campaigning and coalition anticipation. With results finalized nearly two weeks post-election, only an improbable recount or overseas ballot revision could shift odds, though historical precedents show minimal post-certification adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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