Official tallies from Slovenia's 22 March 2026 parliamentary election, confirmed by the State Election Commission, awarded the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) 28 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, reflecting its 27.88% vote share and driving trader consensus to 99.7% odds for under 30 seats. This marks a marginal gain of one seat from 2022 but falls short amid a fragmented hung parliament, with incumbent Freedom Movement (GS) at 29 seats and no clear coalition majority. Pre-election polls consistently projected SDS at 25-28 seats in a neck-and-neck race with GS. Scenarios to challenge this include recounts in tight constituencies, legal challenges to ballot validity, or minority seat reallocations, though official results leave slim room for upward shifts ahead of the April 10 constitutive session.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日<30 99.7%
30-34 <1%
35-39 <1%
40-44 <1%
$92,175 Vol.
$92,175 Vol.
<30
100%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45+
<1%
<30 99.7%
30-34 <1%
35-39 <1%
40-44 <1%
$92,175 Vol.
$92,175 Vol.
<30
100%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
マーケット開始日: Mar 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official tallies from Slovenia's 22 March 2026 parliamentary election, confirmed by the State Election Commission, awarded the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) 28 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation, reflecting its 27.88% vote share and driving trader consensus to 99.7% odds for under 30 seats. This marks a marginal gain of one seat from 2022 but falls short amid a fragmented hung parliament, with incumbent Freedom Movement (GS) at 29 seats and no clear coalition majority. Pre-election polls consistently projected SDS at 25-28 seats in a neck-and-neck race with GS. Scenarios to challenge this include recounts in tight constituencies, legal challenges to ballot validity, or minority seat reallocations, though official results leave slim room for upward shifts ahead of the April 10 constitutive session.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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