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世界·韓国

ユンは3月31日までに身柄を拘束されていますか？

Market icon
世界·韓国

ユンは3月31日までに身柄を拘束されていますか？

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$129,746 Vol.

はい

<1% chance
Polymarket

$129,746 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in custody following a February 19, 2026, life imprisonment sentence by the Seoul Central District Court for leading an insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, after the Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment in April 2025. Appeal hearings began March 4 amid multiple ongoing trials, including abuse of power charges, with prosecutors securing a January detention warrant extension; no recent rulings indicate imminent release before the March 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 99.8% "No" reflects procedural barriers in South Korea's judicial system, where successful appeals or bail for such grave convictions rarely resolve in days, though extraordinary health events or political interventions could theoretically shift outcomes.

Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in custody following a February 19, 2026, life imprisonment sentence by the Seoul Central District Court for leading an insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, after the Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment in April 2025. Appeal hearings began March 4 amid multiple ongoing trials, including abuse of power charges, with prosecutors securing a January detention warrant extension; no recent rulings indicate imminent release before the March 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 99.8% "No" reflects procedural barriers in South Korea's judicial system, where successful appeals or bail for such grave convictions rarely resolve in days, though extraordinary health events or political interventions could theoretically shift outcomes.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in custody following a February 19, 2026, life imprisonment sentence by the Seoul Central District Court for leading an insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, after the Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment in April 2025. Appeal hearings began March 4 amid multiple ongoing trials, including abuse of power charges, with prosecutors securing a January detention warrant extension; no recent rulings indicate imminent release before the March 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 99.8% "No" reflects procedural barriers in South Korea's judicial system, where successful appeals or bail for such grave convictions rarely resolve in days, though extraordinary health events or political interventions could theoretically shift outcomes.

Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in custody following a February 19, 2026, life imprisonment sentence by the Seoul Central District Court for leading an insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, after the Constitutional Court upheld his impeachment in April 2025. Appeal hearings began March 4 amid multiple ongoing trials, including abuse of power charges, with prosecutors securing a January detention warrant extension; no recent rulings indicate imminent release before the March 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 99.8% "No" reflects procedural barriers in South Korea's judicial system, where successful appeals or bail for such grave convictions rarely resolve in days, though extraordinary health events or political interventions could theoretically shift outcomes.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「ユンは3月31日までに身柄を拘束されていますか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ユンは3月31日までに拘留から解放されるか？」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ユンは3月31日までに身柄を拘束されていますか？」は$129.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 5, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ユンは3月31日までに身柄を拘束されていますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ユンは3月31日までに身柄を拘束されていますか？」の現在のリーダーは「ユンは3月31日までに拘留から解放されるか？」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ユンは3月31日までに身柄を拘束されていますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。