Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 87.5% implied probability for Ohio's 14th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong R+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent David Joyce's consistent general election margins exceeding 20 points, including 63% in 2024. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, reflecting historical GOP dominance since 1995. With May 5 primaries approaching, Joyce faces a right-flank challenge from Nicole Frenchko in the GOP contest, while Democrats—former Justice Bill O'Neill, ex-councilmember Maria Jukic, and brewer Carl Setzer—recently highlighted Trump administration policies like Iran airstrikes and tariffs as flip opportunities in a March 26 report, though their lack of fundraising underscores persistent Democratic hurdles in this safe seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
88%
民主党
13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
88%
民主党
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 87.5% implied probability for Ohio's 14th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong R+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent David Joyce's consistent general election margins exceeding 20 points, including 63% in 2024. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, reflecting historical GOP dominance since 1995. With May 5 primaries approaching, Joyce faces a right-flank challenge from Nicole Frenchko in the GOP contest, while Democrats—former Justice Bill O'Neill, ex-councilmember Maria Jukic, and brewer Carl Setzer—recently highlighted Trump administration policies like Iran airstrikes and tariffs as flip opportunities in a March 26 report, though their lack of fundraising underscores persistent Democratic hurdles in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 87.5% implied probability for Ohio's 14th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong R+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent David Joyce's consistent general election margins exceeding 20 points, including 63% in 2024. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, reflecting historical GOP dominance since 1995. With May 5 primaries approaching, Joyce faces a right-flank challenge from Nicole Frenchko in the GOP contest, while Democrats—former Justice Bill O'Neill, ex-councilmember Maria Jukic, and brewer Carl Setzer—recently highlighted Trump administration policies like Iran airstrikes and tariffs as flip opportunities in a March 26 report, though their lack of fundraising underscores persistent Democratic hurdles in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 87.5% implied probability for Ohio's 14th Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong R+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index and incumbent David Joyce's consistent general election margins exceeding 20 points, including 63% in 2024. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, reflecting historical GOP dominance since 1995. With May 5 primaries approaching, Joyce faces a right-flank challenge from Nicole Frenchko in the GOP contest, while Democrats—former Justice Bill O'Neill, ex-councilmember Maria Jukic, and brewer Carl Setzer—recently highlighted Trump administration policies like Iran airstrikes and tariffs as flip opportunities in a March 26 report, though their lack of fundraising underscores persistent Democratic hurdles in this safe seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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