Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 89.5% implied probability to retain Florida's 8th Congressional District in the November 2026 House election, driven by the district's strong R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Mike Haridopolos's dominant 62% victory in 2024. Haridopolos, a freshman with endorsements from Donald Trump and AIPAC, holds a commanding fundraising lead with over $1 million raised and $786,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Democratic primary candidate Paul Dellinger's minimal $2,700. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no competitive challengers emerging. Absent a major scandal or national wave, the GOP path remains straightforward ahead of the August primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
90%
民主党
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
90%
民主党
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 89.5% implied probability to retain Florida's 8th Congressional District in the November 2026 House election, driven by the district's strong R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Mike Haridopolos's dominant 62% victory in 2024. Haridopolos, a freshman with endorsements from Donald Trump and AIPAC, holds a commanding fundraising lead with over $1 million raised and $786,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Democratic primary candidate Paul Dellinger's minimal $2,700. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no competitive challengers emerging. Absent a major scandal or national wave, the GOP path remains straightforward ahead of the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 89.5% implied probability to retain Florida's 8th Congressional District in the November 2026 House election, driven by the district's strong R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Mike Haridopolos's dominant 62% victory in 2024. Haridopolos, a freshman with endorsements from Donald Trump and AIPAC, holds a commanding fundraising lead with over $1 million raised and $786,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Democratic primary candidate Paul Dellinger's minimal $2,700. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no competitive challengers emerging. Absent a major scandal or national wave, the GOP path remains straightforward ahead of the August primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 89.5% implied probability to retain Florida's 8th Congressional District in the November 2026 House election, driven by the district's strong R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and incumbent Rep. Mike Haridopolos's dominant 62% victory in 2024. Haridopolos, a freshman with endorsements from Donald Trump and AIPAC, holds a commanding fundraising lead with over $1 million raised and $786,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, dwarfing Democratic primary candidate Paul Dellinger's minimal $2,700. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, with no competitive challengers emerging. Absent a major scandal or national wave, the GOP path remains straightforward ahead of the August primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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