Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and China Meteorological Administration, which project a daytime maximum of 17-19°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. Historical March data supports this, with average highs around 13-15°C but recent mild trends aligning with model outputs showing stable barometric pressure and no incoming warm fronts. Scenarios challenging this include an unforeseen southerly airflow advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings above 19°C, though low-probability given current synoptic patterns and minimal convective activity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shanghai on March 22?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 22?
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C or higher <1%
$546,918 Vol.
$546,918 Vol.
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C or higher <1%
$546,918 Vol.
$546,918 Vol.
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 18°C as Shanghai's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and China Meteorological Administration, which project a daytime maximum of 17-19°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. Historical March data supports this, with average highs around 13-15°C but recent mild trends aligning with model outputs showing stable barometric pressure and no incoming warm fronts. Scenarios challenging this include an unforeseen southerly airflow advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings above 19°C, though low-probability given current synoptic patterns and minimal convective activity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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