Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$17,301,683 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 73%

Kevin Warsh 13%

Christopher Waller 5.4%

Scott Bessent 3.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,301,683
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM
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$17,301,683 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 73%

Kevin Warsh 13%

Christopher Waller 5.4%

Scott Bessent 3.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$1,682,652 Vol.

73%

Kevin Warsh

$447,580 Vol.

13%

Christopher Waller

$698,969 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$534,193 Vol.

4%

Michelle Bowman

$338,760 Vol.

3%

Rick Rieder

$424,568 Vol.

2%

Stephen Miran

$720,445 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$332,777 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$906,707 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$303,593 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$866,263 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$343,741 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$258,887 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,607,318 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$470,942 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$240,261 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$1,872,514 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$439,337 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$955,283 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,354,622 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$250,914 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$697,564 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$102,004 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$36,271 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$414,979 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$17,301,683
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM