Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$43,571,016 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 39%

Christopher Waller 4.8%

Scott Bessent 1.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,571,016
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$43,571,016 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 39%

Christopher Waller 4.8%

Scott Bessent 1.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$2,788,990 Vol.

52%

Kevin Warsh

$1,006,838 Vol.

39%

Christopher Waller

$1,125,077 Vol.

5%

Scott Bessent

$931,789 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$810,584 Vol.

1%

Rick Rieder

$793,698 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$1,094,042 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$766,822 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$823,788 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$528,196 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,652,170 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,098,900 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$650,797 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$521,005 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,393,635 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,020,223 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$581,679 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,075,517 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,316,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$267,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,428,943 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$7,661,777 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$113,161 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$6,368,333 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$43,571,016
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.