Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$70,040,606 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 54%

Kevin Warsh 25%

Christopher Waller 13.5%

Scott Bessent 3.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,040,606
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$70,040,606 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 54%

Kevin Warsh 25%

Christopher Waller 13.5%

Scott Bessent 3.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,174,327 Vol.

54%

Kevin Warsh

$1,839,408 Vol.

25%

Christopher Waller

$1,855,351 Vol.

13%

Scott Bessent

$1,405,334 Vol.

4%

Rick Rieder

$1,191,575 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$1,420,460 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,176,263 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,587,052 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,306,735 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,183,481 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,146,088 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,259,366 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,333,594 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$749,360 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$566,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,517,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,138,629 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,340,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$279,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,489,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$10,357,347 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$783,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$181,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,114,112 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$646,918 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$70,040,606
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.