Paramount Skydance's definitive $110 billion merger agreement with Warner Bros. Discovery, signed February 27 after outbidding Netflix, drives its 71.5% implied probability as traders anticipate approval at the April 23 shareholder vote, bolstered by recent $24 billion commitments from Saudi, Qatari, and Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth funds announced early April. Several regulatory agencies have cleared the deal, positioning it for a potential Q3 2026 close ahead of the June 30, 2027 deadline. The 20.5% "None" odds reflect antitrust scrutiny from the DOJ over media consolidation, alongside shareholder pushback against CEO David Zaslav's potential $800 million-plus payout criticized by advisor ISS. Netflix and Comcast trail at low probabilities after withdrawing from bidding.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedParamount 72%
None by June 30, 2027 21%
Netflix 2.4%
Comcast 1.2%
$1,027,199 Vol.
$1,027,199 Vol.
Paramount
72%
None by June 30, 2027
21%
Netflix
2%
Comcast
1%
Paramount 72%
None by June 30, 2027 21%
Netflix 2.4%
Comcast 1.2%
$1,027,199 Vol.
$1,027,199 Vol.
Paramount
72%
None by June 30, 2027
21%
Netflix
2%
Comcast
1%
Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Paramount Skydance's definitive $110 billion merger agreement with Warner Bros. Discovery, signed February 27 after outbidding Netflix, drives its 71.5% implied probability as traders anticipate approval at the April 23 shareholder vote, bolstered by recent $24 billion commitments from Saudi, Qatari, and Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth funds announced early April. Several regulatory agencies have cleared the deal, positioning it for a potential Q3 2026 close ahead of the June 30, 2027 deadline. The 20.5% "None" odds reflect antitrust scrutiny from the DOJ over media consolidation, alongside shareholder pushback against CEO David Zaslav's potential $800 million-plus payout criticized by advisor ISS. Netflix and Comcast trail at low probabilities after withdrawing from bidding.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions