Anthropic 45.3%
Google 36%
OpenAI 10.1%
xAI 5.8%
$1,781,407 Vol.
$1,781,407 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Anthropic
$149,206 Vol.
45%
$298,881 Vol.
36%
OpenAI
$103,017 Vol.
10%
xAI
$117,233 Vol.
6%
DeepSeek
$106,561 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$115,685 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$103,433 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$87,758 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$371,352 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$225,576 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$102,705 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$1,781,407End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic 45.3%
Google 36%
OpenAI 10.1%
xAI 5.8%
$1,781,407 Vol.
$1,781,407 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Anthropic
$149,206 Vol.
45%
$298,881 Vol.
36%
OpenAI
$103,017 Vol.
10%
xAI
$117,233 Vol.
6%
DeepSeek
$106,561 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$115,685 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$103,433 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$87,758 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$371,352 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$225,576 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$102,705 Vol.
<1%
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