What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

Name: What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?
Start: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

January 30 100.0%

January 2 <1%

January 3 <1%

January 4 <1%

$1,261,833 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026

January 2
$14,033 Vol.
No

January 3
$14,059 Vol.
No

January 4
$13,670 Vol.
No

January 5
$16,475 Vol.
No

January 6
$14,356 Vol.
No

January 7
$26,773 Vol.
No

January 8
$9,659 Vol.
No

January 9
$9,118 Vol.
No

January 10
$12,219 Vol.
No

January 11
$10,778 Vol.
No

January 12
$9,066 Vol.
No

January 13
$8,549 Vol.
No

January 14
$7,504 Vol.
No

January 15
$8,191 Vol.
No

January 16
$14,456 Vol.
No

January 17
$4,825 Vol.
No

January 18
$8,659 Vol.
No

January 19
$14,340 Vol.
No

January 20
$9,523 Vol.
No

January 21
$22,121 Vol.
No

January 22
$9,380 Vol.
No

January 23
$15,535 Vol.
No

January 24
$10,715 Vol.
No

January 25
$10,943 Vol.
No

January 26
$12,178 Vol.
No

January 27
$32,460 Vol.
No

January 28
$23,957 Vol.
No

January 29
$97,044 Vol.
No

January 30
$353,137 Vol.
Yes

January 31
$124,818 Vol.
No

No announcement by Jan 31
$323,292 Vol.
No

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) on which the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made on a listed date, will also resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If no qualifying announcement is made by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by Jan 31”. The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

January 30 100.0%

January 2 <1%

January 3 <1%

January 4 <1%

$1,261,833 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026

January 2

$14,033 Vol.

January 3

$14,059 Vol.

January 4

$13,670 Vol.

January 5

$16,475 Vol.

January 6

$14,356 Vol.

January 7

$26,773 Vol.

January 8

$9,659 Vol.

January 9

$9,118 Vol.

January 10

$12,219 Vol.

January 11

$10,778 Vol.

January 12

$9,066 Vol.

January 13

$8,549 Vol.

January 14

$7,504 Vol.

January 15

$8,191 Vol.

January 16

$14,456 Vol.

January 17

$4,825 Vol.

January 18

$8,659 Vol.

January 19

$14,340 Vol.

January 20

$9,523 Vol.

January 21

$22,121 Vol.

January 22

$9,380 Vol.

January 23

$15,535 Vol.

January 24

$10,715 Vol.

January 25

$10,943 Vol.

January 26

$12,178 Vol.

January 27

$32,460 Vol.

January 28

$23,957 Vol.

January 29

$97,044 Vol.

January 30

$353,137 Vol.

Yes

January 31

$124,818 Vol.

No announcement by Jan 31

$323,292 Vol.

About

Volume

$1,261,833

End Date

Jan 31, 2026

Created At

Jan 2, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

98%

Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

31%

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?

56%

Beware of external links.