Market icon

What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?

November 18 100.0%

November 13 <1%

November 14 <1%

November 15 <1%

Polymarket

$13,496,397 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.

Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$13,496,397
End Date
Nov 30, 2025
Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 2:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) Google's Gemini 3.0 model is made available to the general public. For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 3.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public. Gemini 3.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 3.0 (e.g. Gemini 3.0 pro would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 2.0, similar to the progression from Gemini 1.0 to Gemini 2.0. Products labeled as Gemini 2.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "November 18" at 100%, followed by "November 13" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?" has generated $13.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?" is "November 18" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "November 13" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?

November 18 100.0%

November 13 <1%

November 14 <1%

November 15 <1%

Polymarket

$13,496,397 Vol.

November 13

$20,267 Vol.

No

November 14

$79,623 Vol.

No

November 15

$98,258 Vol.

No

November 16

$136,861 Vol.

No

November 17

$443,859 Vol.

No

November 18

$9,333,885 Vol.

Yes

November 19

$474,679 Vol.

No

November 20

$299,796 Vol.

No

November 21

$313,645 Vol.

No

November 22

$415,132 Vol.

No

November 23

$276,282 Vol.

No

November 24

$185,231 Vol.

No

November 25

$194,879 Vol.

No

November 26

$242,212 Vol.

No

November 27

$210,503 Vol.

No

November 28

$238,417 Vol.

No

November 29

$152,289 Vol.

No

November 30+

$380,578 Vol.

No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "November 18" at 100%, followed by "November 13" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?" has generated $13.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?" is "November 18" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "November 13" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What day will Gemini 3.0 be released?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.