No release by February 28 87%
February 26 2.7%
February 25 2.3%
February 17 1.5%
$203,369 Vol.
$203,369 Vol.
February 7
$10,280 Vol.
<1%
February 7
$10,280 Vol.
<1%
February 8
$6,051 Vol.
<1%
February 8
$6,051 Vol.
<1%
February 9
$12,008 Vol.
1%
February 9
$12,008 Vol.
1%
February 10
$8,969 Vol.
1%
February 10
$8,969 Vol.
1%
February 11
$6,455 Vol.
1%
February 11
$6,455 Vol.
1%
February 12
$6,668 Vol.
1%
February 12
$6,668 Vol.
1%
February 13
$5,275 Vol.
<1%
February 13
$5,275 Vol.
<1%
February 14
$4,162 Vol.
<1%
February 14
$4,162 Vol.
<1%
February 15
$2,175 Vol.
<1%
February 15
$2,175 Vol.
<1%
February 16
$2,019 Vol.
1%
February 16
$2,019 Vol.
1%
February 17
$3,136 Vol.
1%
February 17
$3,136 Vol.
1%
February 18
$2,307 Vol.
<1%
February 18
$2,307 Vol.
<1%
February 19
$2,160 Vol.
1%
February 19
$2,160 Vol.
1%
February 20
$2,199 Vol.
<1%
February 20
$2,199 Vol.
<1%
February 21
$2,079 Vol.
<1%
February 21
$2,079 Vol.
<1%
February 22
$1,806 Vol.
1%
February 22
$1,806 Vol.
1%
February 23
$2,011 Vol.
1%
February 23
$2,011 Vol.
1%
February 24
$2,146 Vol.
1%
February 24
$2,146 Vol.
1%
February 25
$2,200 Vol.
2%
February 25
$2,200 Vol.
2%
February 26
$2,405 Vol.
3%
February 26
$2,405 Vol.
3%
February 27
$1,977 Vol.
1%
February 27
$1,977 Vol.
1%
February 28
$2,552 Vol.
1%
February 28
$2,552 Vol.
1%
No release by February 28
$28,220 Vol.
87%
No release by February 28
$28,220 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to "No release by February 28" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is not made available to the general public by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Anthropic's Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g., Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Feb 4, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...No release by February 28 87%
February 26 2.7%
February 25 2.3%
February 17 1.5%
$203,369 Vol.
$203,369 Vol.
February 7
<1%
February 8
<1%
February 9
1%
February 10
1%
February 11
1%
February 12
1%
February 13
<1%
February 14
<1%
February 15
<1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
<1%
February 19
1%
February 20
<1%
February 21
<1%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
2%
February 26
3%
February 27
1%
February 28
1%
No release by February 28
87%
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