No release by February 28 90%
February 25 1.9%
February 28 1.9%
February 26 1.8%
$255,861 Vol.
$255,861 Vol.
February 10
$13,136 Vol.
<1%
February 11
$7,743 Vol.
1%
February 12
$7,730 Vol.
1%
February 13
$6,519 Vol.
<1%
February 14
$5,400 Vol.
1%
February 15
$2,458 Vol.
1%
February 16
$2,297 Vol.
<1%
February 17
$8,429 Vol.
1%
February 18
$2,526 Vol.
<1%
February 19
$2,470 Vol.
1%
February 20
$2,416 Vol.
<1%
February 21
$2,397 Vol.
<1%
February 22
$2,045 Vol.
<1%
February 23
$2,294 Vol.
1%
February 24
$2,424 Vol.
1%
February 25
$2,409 Vol.
2%
February 26
$2,610 Vol.
2%
February 27
$2,416 Vol.
1%
February 28
$2,977 Vol.
2%
No release by February 28
$36,380 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to "No release by February 28" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is not made available to the general public by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Anthropic's Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g., Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Feb 4, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...No release by February 28 90%
February 25 1.9%
February 28 1.9%
February 26 1.8%
$255,861 Vol.
$255,861 Vol.
February 10
<1%
February 11
1%
February 12
1%
February 13
<1%
February 14
1%
February 15
1%
February 16
<1%
February 17
1%
February 18
<1%
February 19
1%
February 20
<1%
February 21
<1%
February 22
<1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
2%
February 26
2%
February 27
1%
February 28
2%
No release by February 28
90%
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Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.