A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashing Department of Justice subpoenas in the criminal probe of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—citing no evidence of wrongdoing—coupled with prosecutors' March 24 admission of lacking misconduct proof, has hobbled the investigation over Powell's June 2025 Senate Banking Committee testimony on Fed headquarters renovation costs. Launched in November 2025 amid Trump's criticisms of Fed policy, the case persists via DOJ appeal, but Powell stated March 18 he will remain until resolved, complicating his May 2026 term end and confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh. Senator Thom Tillis has signaled opposition to Warsh absent probe dismissal, while the April FOMC meeting looms as a potential flashpoint for trader positioning on resolution timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTrump drops Powell investigation by…?
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
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Apr 30, 2026
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75%
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashing Department of Justice subpoenas in the criminal probe of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—citing no evidence of wrongdoing—coupled with prosecutors' March 24 admission of lacking misconduct proof, has hobbled the investigation over Powell's June 2025 Senate Banking Committee testimony on Fed headquarters renovation costs. Launched in November 2025 amid Trump's criticisms of Fed policy, the case persists via DOJ appeal, but Powell stated March 18 he will remain until resolved, complicating his May 2026 term end and confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh. Senator Thom Tillis has signaled opposition to Warsh absent probe dismissal, while the April FOMC meeting looms as a potential flashpoint for trader positioning on resolution timing.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$7,524End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashing Department of Justice subpoenas in the criminal probe of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—citing no evidence of wrongdoing—coupled with prosecutors' March 24 admission of lacking misconduct proof, has hobbled the investigation over Powell's June 2025 Senate Banking Committee testimony on Fed headquarters renovation costs. Launched in November 2025 amid Trump's criticisms of Fed policy, the case persists via DOJ appeal, but Powell stated March 18 he will remain until resolved, complicating his May 2026 term end and confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh. Senator Thom Tillis has signaled opposition to Warsh absent probe dismissal, while the April FOMC meeting looms as a potential flashpoint for trader positioning on resolution timing.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,524End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge's March 13 ruling quashing Department of Justice subpoenas in the criminal probe of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—citing no evidence of wrongdoing—coupled with prosecutors' March 24 admission of lacking misconduct proof, has hobbled the investigation over Powell's June 2025 Senate Banking Committee testimony on Fed headquarters renovation costs. Launched in November 2025 amid Trump's criticisms of Fed policy, the case persists via DOJ appeal, but Powell stated March 18 he will remain until resolved, complicating his May 2026 term end and confirmation of nominee Kevin Warsh. Senator Thom Tillis has signaled opposition to Warsh absent probe dismissal, while the April FOMC meeting looms as a potential flashpoint for trader positioning on resolution timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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