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Geopolitics·Derivatives

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?

Market icon
Geopolitics·Derivatives

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

$1,414,024 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,414,024 Vol.

Polymarket

30%

$1,031,716 Vol.

<1%

50%

$382,308 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-30-2 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland, revived from his first term, sparked a diplomatic crisis in January 2026 with threats of tariffs and forceful rhetoric to counter China and Russia influence in the Arctic. A vague "framework of a future deal" emerged from Davos talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, prompting Trump to drop tariff threats and rule out military action, but Denmark and Greenland officials firmly rejected any sovereignty transfer. Recent revelations of Danish troops preparing to sabotage key runways heightened tensions, while Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen called snap elections, gaining popularity for defying U.S. pressure—polls held March 24 amid the standoff. No active negotiations or scheduled summits loom by March 31, underscoring structural barriers like Denmark's NATO membership and Greenland's autonomy demands.

President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland, revived from his first term, sparked a diplomatic crisis in January 2026 with threats of tariffs and forceful rhetoric to counter China and Russia influence in the Arctic. A vague "framework of a future deal" emerged from Davos talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, prompting Trump to drop tariff threats and rule out military action, but Denmark and Greenland officials firmly rejected any sovereignty transfer. Recent revelations of Danish troops preparing to sabotage key runways heightened tensions, while Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen called snap elections, gaining popularity for defying U.S. pressure—polls held March 24 amid the standoff. No active negotiations or scheduled summits loom by March 31, underscoring structural barriers like Denmark's NATO membership and Greenland's autonomy demands.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-30-2 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland, revived from his first term, sparked a diplomatic crisis in January 2026 with threats of tariffs and forceful rhetoric to counter China and Russia influence in the Arctic. A vague "framework of a future deal" emerged from Davos talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, prompting Trump to drop tariff threats and rule out military action, but Denmark and Greenland officials firmly rejected any sovereignty transfer. Recent revelations of Danish troops preparing to sabotage key runways heightened tensions, while Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen called snap elections, gaining popularity for defying U.S. pressure—polls held March 24 amid the standoff. No active negotiations or scheduled summits loom by March 31, underscoring structural barriers like Denmark's NATO membership and Greenland's autonomy demands.

President Trump's renewed push to acquire Greenland, revived from his first term, sparked a diplomatic crisis in January 2026 with threats of tariffs and forceful rhetoric to counter China and Russia influence in the Arctic. A vague "framework of a future deal" emerged from Davos talks with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, prompting Trump to drop tariff threats and rule out military action, but Denmark and Greenland officials firmly rejected any sovereignty transfer. Recent revelations of Danish troops preparing to sabotage key runways heightened tensions, while Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen called snap elections, gaining popularity for defying U.S. pressure—polls held March 24 amid the standoff. No active negotiations or scheduled summits loom by March 31, underscoring structural barriers like Denmark's NATO membership and Greenland's autonomy demands.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30%" at 0%, followed by "50%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?" is "30%" at just 0%, with "50%" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.