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Politics·Senate Primary

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Senate Primary

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

Richard Tabor 54%

Alex Zdan 37%

Robert Lebovics 3.1%

Justin Murphy 3.0%

Polymarket

$405,673 Vol.

Richard Tabor 54%

Alex Zdan 37%

Robert Lebovics 3.1%

Justin Murphy 3.0%

Polymarket

$405,673 Vol.

Richard Tabor

$2,486 Vol.

54%

Alex Zdan

$2,772 Vol.

37%

Robert Lebovics

$253,874 Vol.

3%

Justin Murphy

$6,163 Vol.

3%

Steven Boston

$80,496 Vol.

3%

Natalie Rivera

$44,019 Vol.

2%

Vinnie Brand

$14,877 Vol.

1%

Alina Habba

$985 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Richard Tabor leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for New Jersey's June 2 Republican U.S. Senate primary, propelled by endorsements from Atlantic County Republicans in February and backing from Union County, highlighting his appeal as a state trooper and Army combat veteran in a field emphasizing law enforcement credentials. Alex Zdan trails at 37%, gaining traction from narrow victories at Monmouth County's convention on March 11 and endorsements in Cumberland and Salem counties, drawing on his former News 12 reporting background amid a crowded primary with eight candidates confirmed after the March 23 filing deadline. Absent public polls, county organization lines and grassroots momentum drive positioning, with low-turnout dynamics favoring organized support ahead of the ballot.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$405,673
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Richard Tabor leads trader consensus at 53.5% implied probability for New Jersey's June 2 Republican U.S. Senate primary, propelled by endorsements from Atlantic County Republicans in February and backing from Union County, highlighting his appeal as a state trooper and Army combat veteran in a field emphasizing law enforcement credentials. Alex Zdan trails at 37%, gaining traction from narrow victories at Monmouth County's convention on March 11 and endorsements in Cumberland and Salem counties, drawing on his former News 12 reporting background amid a crowded primary with eight candidates confirmed after the March 23 filing deadline. Absent public polls, county organization lines and grassroots momentum drive positioning, with low-turnout dynamics favoring organized support ahead of the ballot.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$405,673
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Richard Tabor" at 54%, followed by "Alex Zdan" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $405.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Richard Tabor" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alex Zdan" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.