Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding position in the Nebraska Senate race, with trader consensus pricing Republicans at 75% to retain the seat amid the state's deep-red lean and his decisive 25-point special election victory in 2024. Ricketts, a popular former governor backed by strong fundraising ($3.6 million raised), leads independent challenger Dan Osborn 48%-47% in the latest February 2026 partisan polls, despite Osborn's near-upset of Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024. Democrats trail at 4.3% due to weak primary contenders Cindy Burbank and William Forbes, whose party endorsed Osborn instead; Burbank's ballot reinstatement by the Nebraska Supreme Court on March 23 offered little momentum. The May 12 primary looms as the next catalyst in this Solid Republican-rated contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$89,839 Vol.
$89,839 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
75%
Democrat
4%
$89,839 Vol.
$89,839 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$37,469 Vol.
75%
Democrat
$52,370 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding position in the Nebraska Senate race, with trader consensus pricing Republicans at 75% to retain the seat amid the state's deep-red lean and his decisive 25-point special election victory in 2024. Ricketts, a popular former governor backed by strong fundraising ($3.6 million raised), leads independent challenger Dan Osborn 48%-47% in the latest February 2026 partisan polls, despite Osborn's near-upset of Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024. Democrats trail at 4.3% due to weak primary contenders Cindy Burbank and William Forbes, whose party endorsed Osborn instead; Burbank's ballot reinstatement by the Nebraska Supreme Court on March 23 offered little momentum. The May 12 primary looms as the next catalyst in this Solid Republican-rated contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$89,839End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding position in the Nebraska Senate race, with trader consensus pricing Republicans at 75% to retain the seat amid the state's deep-red lean and his decisive 25-point special election victory in 2024. Ricketts, a popular former governor backed by strong fundraising ($3.6 million raised), leads independent challenger Dan Osborn 48%-47% in the latest February 2026 partisan polls, despite Osborn's near-upset of Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024. Democrats trail at 4.3% due to weak primary contenders Cindy Burbank and William Forbes, whose party endorsed Osborn instead; Burbank's ballot reinstatement by the Nebraska Supreme Court on March 23 offered little momentum. The May 12 primary looms as the next catalyst in this Solid Republican-rated contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$89,839End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Pete Ricketts holds a commanding position in the Nebraska Senate race, with trader consensus pricing Republicans at 75% to retain the seat amid the state's deep-red lean and his decisive 25-point special election victory in 2024. Ricketts, a popular former governor backed by strong fundraising ($3.6 million raised), leads independent challenger Dan Osborn 48%-47% in the latest February 2026 partisan polls, despite Osborn's near-upset of Sen. Deb Fischer in 2024. Democrats trail at 4.3% due to weak primary contenders Cindy Burbank and William Forbes, whose party endorsed Osborn instead; Burbank's ballot reinstatement by the Nebraska Supreme Court on March 23 offered little momentum. The May 12 primary looms as the next catalyst in this Solid Republican-rated contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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