Trader consensus for the 2026 AL Cy Young tightly bunches Tarik Skubal, Dylan Cease, and George Kirby atop the market, driven by their elite 2025 strikeout rates, sub-3.00 ERAs, and high innings totals that signal ace potential amid AL parity. Skubal's defending status and Tigers momentum lead slightly, but Cease's move to a run-support-rich AL contender elevates his WHIP and FIP edge, while Kirby's surgical command and Mariners' rotation depth foster repeat value. Looming health recoveries for deGrom and Crochet, plus workload questions for rising arms like Woo and Ragans, underscore uncertainty in voter-favored metrics like wins, quality starts, and postseason impact, keeping the race fluid as spring training nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedTarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
Jacob deGrom 12%
Max Fried 9.6%
Tarik Skubal
25%
Garrett Crochet
11%
Jacob deGrom
12%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
5%
Max Fried
10%
Bryan Woo
9%
Logan Gilbert
2%
Kyle Bradish
2%
Joe Ryan
2%
Ranger Suarez
6%
Nathan Eovaldi
6%
Dylan Cease
14%
George Kirby
23%
Carlos Rodón
5%
Kevin Gausman
2%
MacKenzie Gore
5%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo Lopez
6%
Gavin Williams
4%
Bryce Miller
5%
Cam Schlittler
5%
Gerrit Cole
3%
Tarik Skubal 19%
Garrett Crochet 15%
Jacob deGrom 12%
Max Fried 9.6%
Tarik Skubal
25%
Garrett Crochet
11%
Jacob deGrom
12%
Cole Ragans
7%
Hunter Brown
5%
Max Fried
10%
Bryan Woo
9%
Logan Gilbert
2%
Kyle Bradish
2%
Joe Ryan
2%
Ranger Suarez
6%
Nathan Eovaldi
6%
Dylan Cease
14%
George Kirby
23%
Carlos Rodón
5%
Kevin Gausman
2%
MacKenzie Gore
5%
Jose Soriano
5%
Pablo Lopez
6%
Gavin Williams
4%
Bryce Miller
5%
Cam Schlittler
5%
Gerrit Cole
3%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for the 2026 AL Cy Young tightly bunches Tarik Skubal, Dylan Cease, and George Kirby atop the market, driven by their elite 2025 strikeout rates, sub-3.00 ERAs, and high innings totals that signal ace potential amid AL parity. Skubal's defending status and Tigers momentum lead slightly, but Cease's move to a run-support-rich AL contender elevates his WHIP and FIP edge, while Kirby's surgical command and Mariners' rotation depth foster repeat value. Looming health recoveries for deGrom and Crochet, plus workload questions for rising arms like Woo and Ragans, underscore uncertainty in voter-favored metrics like wins, quality starts, and postseason impact, keeping the race fluid as spring training nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions