Nathan MacKinnon holds a slim lead in the NHL goal-scoring race with 27 tallies through 34 games, but Montreal's Cole Caufield lurks just one back at 26 goals in the same span, fueling trader consensus that splits implied probabilities nearly evenly at 49.4% for MacKinnon and 44.5% for Caufield amid the tightly contested Maurice "Rocket" Richard Trophy market. MacKinnon's recent four-goal outburst over three games, including two power-play markers, edged him ahead after Caufield's three-goal weekend paced the league, with both forwards thriving on high-volume shots and advantageous linemates amid healthy rosters. The Avalanche's stronger overall standings and schedule provide MacKinnon a slight momentum edge, yet Caufield's scorching shot volume keeps the door wide open in the remaining 48 games, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing this nail-biter.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNathan MacKinnon 48.7%
Cole Caufield 41.1%
Connor McDavid 1.5%
Brayden Point 1.0%
$45,639 Vol.
$45,639 Vol.
Nathan MacKinnon
49%
Cole Caufield
45%
Connor McDavid
2%
Brayden Point
1%
Tomas Hertl
1%
Mark Scheifele
1%
Lucas Raymond
1%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Dylan Guenther
<1%
Matthew Boldy
<1%
Alex Tuch
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Brandon Hagel
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Brock Nelson
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Nikita Kucherov
<1%
Elias Pettersson (1988)
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Adam Fantilli
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Jared McCann
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Bo Horvat
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Pavel Dorofeyev
<1%
Bryan Rust
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Alex Ovechkin
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Tom Wilson
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Macklin Celebrini
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Mikko Rantanen
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
John Tavares
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
Nathan MacKinnon 48.7%
Cole Caufield 41.1%
Connor McDavid 1.5%
Brayden Point 1.0%
$45,639 Vol.
$45,639 Vol.
Nathan MacKinnon
49%
Cole Caufield
45%
Connor McDavid
2%
Brayden Point
1%
Tomas Hertl
1%
Mark Scheifele
1%
Lucas Raymond
1%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Dylan Guenther
<1%
Matthew Boldy
<1%
Alex Tuch
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Brandon Hagel
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Brock Nelson
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Nikita Kucherov
<1%
Elias Pettersson (1988)
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Adam Fantilli
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Jared McCann
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Bo Horvat
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Pavel Dorofeyev
<1%
Bryan Rust
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Alex Ovechkin
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Tom Wilson
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Macklin Celebrini
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Mikko Rantanen
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
John Tavares
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nathan MacKinnon holds a slim lead in the NHL goal-scoring race with 27 tallies through 34 games, but Montreal's Cole Caufield lurks just one back at 26 goals in the same span, fueling trader consensus that splits implied probabilities nearly evenly at 49.4% for MacKinnon and 44.5% for Caufield amid the tightly contested Maurice "Rocket" Richard Trophy market. MacKinnon's recent four-goal outburst over three games, including two power-play markers, edged him ahead after Caufield's three-goal weekend paced the league, with both forwards thriving on high-volume shots and advantageous linemates amid healthy rosters. The Avalanche's stronger overall standings and schedule provide MacKinnon a slight momentum edge, yet Caufield's scorching shot volume keeps the door wide open in the remaining 48 games, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing this nail-biter.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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