Trader consensus heavily favors Andrei Vasilevskiy at 59.4% implied probability for the Vezina Trophy, propelled by his post-injury dominance with league-leading wins (36), .925 save percentage, and 2.05 GAA over 55 starts, fueling Tampa Bay's late playoff surge after back surgery sidelined him early. Ilya Sorokin trails at 35.5%, anchoring the Islanders with a .924 SV% and fewest goals against per 60 minutes (1.86), showcasing elite consistency despite fewer wins (33). Jeremy Swayman's 2.8% nods to solid .919 SV% behind Boston's stingy defense, while others like Wedgewood fade amid heavier workloads. Recent stat sheets and GM voter focus on workload, efficiency, and team impact drive this pricing amid regular-season close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAndrei Vasilevskiy 58.3%
Ilya Sorokin 35.5%
Jeremy Swayman 5.5%
Scott Wedgewood 2.2%
$35,035 Vol.
$35,035 Vol.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
58%
Ilya Sorokin
36%
Jeremy Swayman
6%
Scott Wedgewood
2%
Jordan Binnington
2%
Mackenzie Blackwood
2%
Logan Thompson
1%
Alex Lyon
1%
Filip Gustavsson
1%
Dustin Wolf
1%
Joonas Korpisalo
1%
Pyotr Kochetkov
<1%
Vitek Vanecek
<1%
Jakub Dobes
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Alex Nedeljkovic
<1%
John Gibson
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Anton Forsberg
<1%
Joey Daccord
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Kevin Lankinen
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Arvid Soderblom
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Lukas Dostal
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Connor Ingram
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Alexandar Georgiev
<1%
Jonas Johansson
<1%
Sam Montembeault
<1%
Jet Greaves
<1%
Ilya Samsonov
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Spencer Knight
<1%
Philipp Grubauer
<1%
Calvin Pickard
<1%
Karel Vejmelka
<1%
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Elvis Merzlikins
<1%
Charlie Lindgren
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Justus Annunen
<1%
Semyon Varlamov
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Anthony Stolarz
<1%
Eric Comrie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Petr Mrazek
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Joseph Woll
<1%
Jake Allen
<1%
Casey DeSmith
<1%
Joel Hofer
<1%
Jonathan Quick
<1%
Tristan Jarry
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Cam Talbot
<1%
David Rittich
<1%
Ivan Fedotov
<1%
Samuel Ersson
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy 58.3%
Ilya Sorokin 35.5%
Jeremy Swayman 5.5%
Scott Wedgewood 2.2%
$35,035 Vol.
$35,035 Vol.
Andrei Vasilevskiy
58%
Ilya Sorokin
36%
Jeremy Swayman
6%
Scott Wedgewood
2%
Jordan Binnington
2%
Mackenzie Blackwood
2%
Logan Thompson
1%
Alex Lyon
1%
Filip Gustavsson
1%
Dustin Wolf
1%
Joonas Korpisalo
1%
Pyotr Kochetkov
<1%
Vitek Vanecek
<1%
Jakub Dobes
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Alex Nedeljkovic
<1%
John Gibson
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Anton Forsberg
<1%
Joey Daccord
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Kevin Lankinen
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Arvid Soderblom
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Lukas Dostal
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Connor Ingram
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Alexandar Georgiev
<1%
Jonas Johansson
<1%
Sam Montembeault
<1%
Jet Greaves
<1%
Ilya Samsonov
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Spencer Knight
<1%
Philipp Grubauer
<1%
Calvin Pickard
<1%
Karel Vejmelka
<1%
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Elvis Merzlikins
<1%
Charlie Lindgren
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Justus Annunen
<1%
Semyon Varlamov
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Anthony Stolarz
<1%
Eric Comrie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Petr Mrazek
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Joseph Woll
<1%
Jake Allen
<1%
Casey DeSmith
<1%
Joel Hofer
<1%
Jonathan Quick
<1%
Tristan Jarry
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Cam Talbot
<1%
David Rittich
<1%
Ivan Fedotov
<1%
Samuel Ersson
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Andrei Vasilevskiy at 59.4% implied probability for the Vezina Trophy, propelled by his post-injury dominance with league-leading wins (36), .925 save percentage, and 2.05 GAA over 55 starts, fueling Tampa Bay's late playoff surge after back surgery sidelined him early. Ilya Sorokin trails at 35.5%, anchoring the Islanders with a .924 SV% and fewest goals against per 60 minutes (1.86), showcasing elite consistency despite fewer wins (33). Jeremy Swayman's 2.8% nods to solid .919 SV% behind Boston's stingy defense, while others like Wedgewood fade amid heavier workloads. Recent stat sheets and GM voter focus on workload, efficiency, and team impact drive this pricing amid regular-season close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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