Trader consensus on the Vezina Trophy heavily favors Andrei Vasilevskiy and Ilya Sorokin, with their implied probabilities nearly deadlocked at 50.5% and 48.4%, reflecting razor-thin edges in key metrics like goals-against average (Vasilevskiy 2.28, Sorokin 2.30) and save percentage (Vasilevskiy .923, Sorokin .925) through 70-plus games. Vasilevskiy's league-leading 35 wins and six shutouts bolster Tampa Bay's Southeast Division lead and playoff positioning, while Sorokin's workload—topping 50 starts—fuels New York's wild-card charge amid defensive lapses. Minimal separation in wins above replacement and team success keeps the race competitive, as voters prioritize regular-season dominance with two weeks left, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in a goalie duel defined by endurance and clutch stops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAndrei Vasilevskiy 51.8%
Ilya Sorokin 46.0%
Jeremy Swayman 2.9%
Jordan Binnington 1.6%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
52%
Ilya Sorokin
45%
Jeremy Swayman
3%
Jordan Binnington
2%
Igor Shesterkin
1%
Dustin Wolf
1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
1%
Vitek Vanecek
1%
Juuse Saros
1%
Pyotr Kochetkov
<1%
Alex Nedeljkovic
<1%
Joonas Korpisalo
<1%
Jakub Dobes
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Arvid Soderblom
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Connor Ingram
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Alexandar Georgiev
<1%
Joey Daccord
<1%
Kevin Lankinen
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Sam Montembeault
<1%
Spencer Knight
<1%
Philipp Grubauer
<1%
Calvin Pickard
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Karel Vejmelka
<1%
Lukas Dostal
<1%
Jonas Johansson
<1%
Elvis Merzlikins
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Jet Greaves
<1%
Ilya Samsonov
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Semyon Varlamov
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
<1%
John Gibson
<1%
Charlie Lindgren
<1%
Justus Annunen
<1%
Anthony Stolarz
<1%
Scott Wedgewood
<1%
Eric Comrie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Petr Mrazek
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Joseph Woll
<1%
Jake Allen
<1%
Casey DeSmith
<1%
Joel Hofer
<1%
Jonathan Quick
<1%
Anton Forsberg
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Alex Lyon
<1%
Tristan Jarry
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Cam Talbot
<1%
David Rittich
<1%
Ivan Fedotov
<1%
Samuel Ersson
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy 51.8%
Ilya Sorokin 46.0%
Jeremy Swayman 2.9%
Jordan Binnington 1.6%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
52%
Ilya Sorokin
45%
Jeremy Swayman
3%
Jordan Binnington
2%
Igor Shesterkin
1%
Dustin Wolf
1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
1%
Vitek Vanecek
1%
Juuse Saros
1%
Pyotr Kochetkov
<1%
Alex Nedeljkovic
<1%
Joonas Korpisalo
<1%
Jakub Dobes
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Arvid Soderblom
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Connor Ingram
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Alexandar Georgiev
<1%
Joey Daccord
<1%
Kevin Lankinen
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Sam Montembeault
<1%
Spencer Knight
<1%
Philipp Grubauer
<1%
Calvin Pickard
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Karel Vejmelka
<1%
Lukas Dostal
<1%
Jonas Johansson
<1%
Elvis Merzlikins
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Jet Greaves
<1%
Ilya Samsonov
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Semyon Varlamov
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
<1%
John Gibson
<1%
Charlie Lindgren
<1%
Justus Annunen
<1%
Anthony Stolarz
<1%
Scott Wedgewood
<1%
Eric Comrie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Petr Mrazek
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Joseph Woll
<1%
Jake Allen
<1%
Casey DeSmith
<1%
Joel Hofer
<1%
Jonathan Quick
<1%
Anton Forsberg
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Alex Lyon
<1%
Tristan Jarry
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Cam Talbot
<1%
David Rittich
<1%
Ivan Fedotov
<1%
Samuel Ersson
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Vezina Trophy heavily favors Andrei Vasilevskiy and Ilya Sorokin, with their implied probabilities nearly deadlocked at 50.5% and 48.4%, reflecting razor-thin edges in key metrics like goals-against average (Vasilevskiy 2.28, Sorokin 2.30) and save percentage (Vasilevskiy .923, Sorokin .925) through 70-plus games. Vasilevskiy's league-leading 35 wins and six shutouts bolster Tampa Bay's Southeast Division lead and playoff positioning, while Sorokin's workload—topping 50 starts—fuels New York's wild-card charge amid defensive lapses. Minimal separation in wins above replacement and team success keeps the race competitive, as voters prioritize regular-season dominance with two weeks left, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in a goalie duel defined by endurance and clutch stops.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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