Trader consensus on the Hart Trophy race hinges on the neck-and-neck duel between Nikita Kucherov and Nathan MacKinnon, who lead the NHL in scoring with 20 and 19 points through 12 games, respectively, powering the Lightning and Avalanche to top Western and Eastern contention. Kucherov's six goals and elite playmaking edge give him a slight nod at 46.6% implied probability over MacKinnon's 45.0%, reflecting Tampa Bay's rest advantage and Colorado's road-heavy slate. Connor McDavid trails at 4.5% amid Oilers' sluggish 4-5-1 start, while rookie Macklin Celebrini's Calder buzz caps his MVP odds at 3.5%. With 70 games left, voter fatigue, injuries, and playoff pushes could upend this tight frontrunner dynamic, underscoring the market's volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNikita Kucherov 46.0%
Nathan MacKinnon 45%
Connor McDavid 4.5%
Macklin Celebrini 3.5%
$162,599 Vol.
$162,599 Vol.
Nikita Kucherov
46%
Nathan MacKinnon
45%
Connor McDavid
4%
Macklin Celebrini
3%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Evan Bouchard
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Jonathan Huberdeau
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Elias Lindholm
<1%
Jonathan Toews
<1%
Logan Stankoven
<1%
Trevor Zegras
<1%
Nikolaj Ehlers
<1%
Claude Giroux
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Matty Beniers
<1%
Ryan O'Reilly
<1%
Dylan Strome
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Patrick Kane
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Zach Werenski
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Ilya Sorokin
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
John-Jason Peterka
<1%
Brayden Point
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Owen Tippett
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Alexander Ovechkin
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Ivan Demidov
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Evgeni Malkin
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Alexis Lafrenière
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
Lucas Raymond
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Mark Scheifele
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Matt Boldy
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
Nikita Kucherov 46.0%
Nathan MacKinnon 45%
Connor McDavid 4.5%
Macklin Celebrini 3.5%
$162,599 Vol.
$162,599 Vol.
Nikita Kucherov
46%
Nathan MacKinnon
45%
Connor McDavid
4%
Macklin Celebrini
3%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Evan Bouchard
<1%
Wyatt Johnston
<1%
Brock Boeser
<1%
Quinton Byfield
<1%
Kirill Kaprizov
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Auston Matthews
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Jack Hughes
<1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Mitchell Marner
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Artemi Panarin
<1%
William Nylander
<1%
Miro Heiskanen
<1%
Dylan Larkin
<1%
Lane Hutson
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nico Hischier
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Kyle Connor
<1%
Jonathan Huberdeau
<1%
Alex DeBrincat
<1%
Chris Kreider
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Elias Lindholm
<1%
Jonathan Toews
<1%
Logan Stankoven
<1%
Trevor Zegras
<1%
Nikolaj Ehlers
<1%
Claude Giroux
<1%
Brock Faber
<1%
Matty Beniers
<1%
Ryan O'Reilly
<1%
Dylan Strome
<1%
Tage Thompson
<1%
Jason Robertson
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Brad Marchand
<1%
Timo Meier
<1%
Zach Hyman
<1%
Patrick Kane
<1%
Brady Tkachuk
<1%
Juraj Slafkovsky
<1%
Carter Verhaeghe
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Matvei Michkov
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Zach Werenski
<1%
Mathew Barzal
<1%
Roman Josi
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Mika Zibanejad
<1%
Matt Duchene
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Jesper Bratt
<1%
Ilya Sorokin
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Patrik Laine
<1%
Elias Pettersson
<1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Filip Forsberg
<1%
Tim Stutzle
<1%
Adrian Kempe
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Victor Hedman
<1%
Kirill Marchenko
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Aleksander Barkov
<1%
Matthew Tkachuk
<1%
Connor Bedard
<1%
Roope Hintz
<1%
Sam Reinhart
<1%
John-Jason Peterka
<1%
Brayden Point
<1%
J.T. Miller
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Owen Tippett
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Steven Stamkos
<1%
Travis Konecny
<1%
Alexander Ovechkin
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Robert Thomas
<1%
Ivan Demidov
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Jordan Kyrou
<1%
Evgeni Malkin
<1%
Adam Fox
<1%
Alexis Lafrenière
<1%
Nazem Kadri
<1%
Lucas Raymond
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Mark Scheifele
<1%
Will Smith
<1%
Jake Guentzel
<1%
Matt Boldy
<1%
Erik Karlsson
<1%
Cutter Gauthier
<1%
Kevin Fiala
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Hart Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Hart Trophy race hinges on the neck-and-neck duel between Nikita Kucherov and Nathan MacKinnon, who lead the NHL in scoring with 20 and 19 points through 12 games, respectively, powering the Lightning and Avalanche to top Western and Eastern contention. Kucherov's six goals and elite playmaking edge give him a slight nod at 46.6% implied probability over MacKinnon's 45.0%, reflecting Tampa Bay's rest advantage and Colorado's road-heavy slate. Connor McDavid trails at 4.5% amid Oilers' sluggish 4-5-1 start, while rookie Macklin Celebrini's Calder buzz caps his MVP odds at 3.5%. With 70 games left, voter fatigue, injuries, and playoff pushes could upend this tight frontrunner dynamic, underscoring the market's volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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