Zach Werenski's dominant regular-season production, including 81 points in 75 games with NHL-leading even-strength points per game among defensemen and consistent top-pair minutes for the Columbus Blue Jackets, has solidified trader consensus around his 89 percent implied probability for the 2025-26 James Norris Memorial Trophy. As a repeat finalist who finished second in voting last season, Werenski edges six-time nominee Cale Makar, whose 79 points and Presidents' Trophy contribution with Colorado place him at 8 percent, while Rasmus Dahlin's strong Buffalo output sits at 3 percent. Recent NHL.com polling and final-three voting patterns underscore the shift toward Werenski's balanced defensive impact. A late surge in advanced analytics favoring Makar's playmaking or unexpected writer preference for team success could still narrow the gap before the June announcement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZach Werenski 89.2%
Cale Makar 8.1%
Rasmus Dahlin 2.6%
$341,702 Vol.
$341,702 Vol.
Zach Werenski
89%
Cale Makar
8%
Rasmus Dahlin
3%
Zach Werenski 89.2%
Cale Makar 8.1%
Rasmus Dahlin 2.6%
$341,702 Vol.
$341,702 Vol.
Zach Werenski
89%
Cale Makar
8%
Rasmus Dahlin
3%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Zach Werenski's dominant regular-season production, including 81 points in 75 games with NHL-leading even-strength points per game among defensemen and consistent top-pair minutes for the Columbus Blue Jackets, has solidified trader consensus around his 89 percent implied probability for the 2025-26 James Norris Memorial Trophy. As a repeat finalist who finished second in voting last season, Werenski edges six-time nominee Cale Makar, whose 79 points and Presidents' Trophy contribution with Colorado place him at 8 percent, while Rasmus Dahlin's strong Buffalo output sits at 3 percent. Recent NHL.com polling and final-three voting patterns underscore the shift toward Werenski's balanced defensive impact. A late surge in advanced analytics favoring Makar's playmaking or unexpected writer preference for team success could still narrow the gap before the June announcement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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