NBA Rookie of the Year

Name: NBA Rookie of the Year
Start: 2025-07-09T20:41:49.114Z
End: 2026-05-18T00:00:00.000Z

NBA Rookie of the Year — Discussion

henjiu · 2025-07-09T20:41:49.114Z

Discussion about NBA Rookie of the Year . Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

Sports·NBA

NBA Rookie of the Year

Kon Knueppel 72.0%

Cooper Flagg 28%

Dylan Harper <1%

Tre Johnson <1%

$1,247,548 Vol.

May 18, 2026

Kon Knueppel

$605,065 Vol.

72%

Cooper Flagg

$226,576 Vol.

28%

Dylan Harper

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tre Johnson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ace Bailey

$0 Vol.

<1%

V.J. Edgecombe

$0 Vol.

<1%

Derik Queen

$415,915 Vol.

<1%

Jeremiah Fears

$0 Vol.

<1%

Cedric Coward

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jase Richardson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Walter Clayton Jr.

$0 Vol.

<1%

Collin Murray-Boyles

$0 Vol.

<1%

Khaman Maluach

$0 Vol.

<1%

Kon Knueppel 72.0%

Cooper Flagg 28%

Dylan Harper <1%

Tre Johnson <1%

$1,247,548 Vol.

May 18, 2026

Kon Knueppel

$605,065 Vol.

72%

Cooper Flagg

$226,576 Vol.

28%

Dylan Harper

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tre Johnson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ace Bailey

$0 Vol.

<1%

V.J. Edgecombe

$0 Vol.

<1%

Derik Queen

$415,915 Vol.

<1%

Jeremiah Fears

$0 Vol.

<1%

Cedric Coward

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jase Richardson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Walter Clayton Jr.

$0 Vol.

<1%

Collin Murray-Boyles

$0 Vol.

<1%

Khaman Maluach

$0 Vol.

<1%

This is a market to predict which player will win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is officially named the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the award is not announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com).

Market Opened: Jul 9, 2025, 4:18 PM ET

Volume

$1,247,548

End Date

May 18, 2026

Market Opened

Jul 9, 2025, 4:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Duke freshman Kon Knueppel at 72% implied probability for 2025-26 NBA Rookie of the Year, ahead of fellow Blue Devil Cooper Flagg at 28%, driven by Knueppel's elite sharpshooting (42% from three in high school) and projection for immediate high-usage role in Duke's top-ranked preseason offense. Recent preseason polls released October 15 positioned Duke at No. 1 nationally, amplifying hype around their loaded freshmen class including Flagg (consensus No. 1 draft prospect) and Khaman Maluach, but traders see Knueppel—ranked top-15 recruit—as primed for stat-padding efficiency amid favorable minutes distribution. Flagg's two-way stardom carries adjustment risk for ROY, while Rutgers duo Dylan Harper and Ace Bailey linger at 0.1% amid weaker team projections; no major injuries or withdrawals reported as college season tips off November 4.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 27, 2026, 10:05 AM UTC

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

78%

Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

65%

Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?

27%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Rookie of the Year " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kon Knueppel" at 72%, followed by "Cooper Flagg" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NBA Rookie of the Year " has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NBA Rookie of the Year ," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Rookie of the Year " is "Kon Knueppel" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cooper Flagg" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Rookie of the Year " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "NBA Rookie of the Year ." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.2 million traded on “NBA Rookie of the Year ,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "NBA Rookie of the Year ," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 72¢ for "Kon Knueppel" in the "NBA Rookie of the Year " market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 72% chance that "Kon Knueppel" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 72¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 28¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "NBA Rookie of the Year " market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 18, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "NBA Rookie of the Year " market has an active community of 24 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "NBA Rookie of the Year ." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

NBA Rookie of the Year

NBA Rookie of the Year

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

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Comments (24)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "NBA Rookie of the Year " prediction market?

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What does a price of 72¢ for "Kon Knueppel" mean?

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