Trader consensus prices Son Heung-min as the clear 2026 MLS MVP frontrunner at 56.5% implied probability, driven by his MLS-record $26 million transfer to LAFC last August and solid early-season form with two assists across five starts despite no goals yet, bolstering LAFC's Western Conference contention. Luis Suárez follows at 40.3%, buoyed by his December re-signing with defending champion Inter Miami and proven goal-scoring prowess amid the team's strong start. Diego Luna's 32.2% reflects his prior All-Star nods and breakout potential at Real Salt Lake, while Anders Dreyer's 27% and Denis Bouanga's 26.4% stem from explosive openings—Dreyer with three goals and three assists for expansion San Diego FC, Bouanga complementing LAFC's attack. Sam Surridge's seven goals lead the Golden Boot race for Nashville SC, yet broader impact keeps him at 23.9%, with Lionel Messi and others trailing on pedigree amid a fluid early table.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSam Surridge 24.0%
Thomas Müller 4.2%
Carles Gil 4.0%
Lionel Messi 4%
$27,819 Vol.
$27,819 Vol.
Sam Surridge
24%
Thomas Müller
15%
Carles Gil
14%
Lionel Messi
4%
Dejan Joveljic
13%
Philip Zinckernagel
15%
Evander
15%
Petar Musa
15%
Emil Forsberg
22%
Martin Ojeda
15%
Sergio Busquets
14%
Anders Dreyer
27%
Denis Bouanga
26%
Luis Suárez
39%
Son Heung-min
56%
Diego Luna
32%
Sam Surridge 24.0%
Thomas Müller 4.2%
Carles Gil 4.0%
Lionel Messi 4%
$27,819 Vol.
$27,819 Vol.
Sam Surridge
24%
Thomas Müller
15%
Carles Gil
14%
Lionel Messi
4%
Dejan Joveljic
13%
Philip Zinckernagel
15%
Evander
15%
Petar Musa
15%
Emil Forsberg
22%
Martin Ojeda
15%
Sergio Busquets
14%
Anders Dreyer
27%
Denis Bouanga
26%
Luis Suárez
39%
Son Heung-min
56%
Diego Luna
32%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Son Heung-min as the clear 2026 MLS MVP frontrunner at 56.5% implied probability, driven by his MLS-record $26 million transfer to LAFC last August and solid early-season form with two assists across five starts despite no goals yet, bolstering LAFC's Western Conference contention. Luis Suárez follows at 40.3%, buoyed by his December re-signing with defending champion Inter Miami and proven goal-scoring prowess amid the team's strong start. Diego Luna's 32.2% reflects his prior All-Star nods and breakout potential at Real Salt Lake, while Anders Dreyer's 27% and Denis Bouanga's 26.4% stem from explosive openings—Dreyer with three goals and three assists for expansion San Diego FC, Bouanga complementing LAFC's attack. Sam Surridge's seven goals lead the Golden Boot race for Nashville SC, yet broader impact keeps him at 23.9%, with Lionel Messi and others trailing on pedigree amid a fluid early table.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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