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Politics·New York City

Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?

Market icon
Politics·New York City

Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$1,838 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$1,838 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jessica Tisch ceases to be the New York City Police Commissioner for any period of time between December 2, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Tisch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. An announcement from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani that he will remove Tisch from her post will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York City local government or Police Department; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mayor Zohran Mamdani, sworn in as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following his 2025 election victory, has retained NYPD Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch without removal by the March 31 deadline, driving trader consensus to 99.9% on "No." Mamdani announced Tisch's continuation in November 2025, clarified her direct reporting line amid January demotion rumors, and issued a joint statement with her on March 7 amid public safety discussions, followed by a March 9 news conference. Despite left-wing calls for her dismissal over past policing, their ongoing collaboration as an unlikely duo underscores stability. With the deadline passed on April 1, only an extraordinary retroactive announcement—such as a sudden scandal or legal reversal—could theoretically shift resolution, though barriers remain prohibitive.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jessica Tisch ceases to be the New York City Police Commissioner for any period of time between December 2, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Tisch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. An announcement from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani that he will remove Tisch from her post will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York City local government or Police Department; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,838
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 5:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jessica Tisch ceases to be the New York City Police Commissioner for any period of time between December 2, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Tisch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. An announcement from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani that he will remove Tisch from her post will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York City local government or Police Department; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jessica Tisch ceases to be the New York City Police Commissioner for any period of time between December 2, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Tisch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. An announcement from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani that he will remove Tisch from her post will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York City local government or Police Department; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mayor Zohran Mamdani, sworn in as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, following his 2025 election victory, has retained NYPD Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch without removal by the March 31 deadline, driving trader consensus to 99.9% on "No." Mamdani announced Tisch's continuation in November 2025, clarified her direct reporting line amid January demotion rumors, and issued a joint statement with her on March 7 amid public safety discussions, followed by a March 9 news conference. Despite left-wing calls for her dismissal over past policing, their ongoing collaboration as an unlikely duo underscores stability. With the deadline passed on April 1, only an extraordinary retroactive announcement—such as a sudden scandal or legal reversal—could theoretically shift resolution, though barriers remain prohibitive.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jessica Tisch ceases to be the New York City Police Commissioner for any period of time between December 2, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Tisch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. An announcement from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani that he will remove Tisch from her post will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York City local government or Police Department; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,838
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 5:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jessica Tisch ceases to be the New York City Police Commissioner for any period of time between December 2, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Tisch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. An announcement from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani that he will remove Tisch from her post will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York City local government or Police Department; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

Dispute window

Final

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 2, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.