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New York City predictions & odds

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Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

4%

$234K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

63

Ends in 2 months

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 30?

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 30?

37%

582 - 589k

$4.0K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Lowest temperature in NYC on April 15?

Lowest temperature in NYC on April 15?

99%

68-69°F

$228K Vol.

$203K today

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

Highest temperature in NYC on April 15?

Highest temperature in NYC on April 15?

98%

86-87°F

$223K Vol.

$151K today

$79.0K Liq.

Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?

Highest temperature in NYC on April 16?

38%

86-87°F

$48.7K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

Highest temperature in NYC on April 17?

Highest temperature in NYC on April 17?

31%

78-79°F

$17.5K Vol.

$57.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

12%

$17.2K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

21%

$247K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

27

Ends in 9 months

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

14%

$56.5K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC

New York City FC vs. Charlotte FC

51%

New York City FC

$1.3K Vol.

$647K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

CF Montréal vs. New York City FC

CF Montréal vs. New York City FC

37%

New York City FC

$12 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati

New York City FC vs. FC Cincinnati

52%

New York City FC

$1 Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew

New York City FC vs. Columbus Crew

48%

New York City FC

$0 Vol.

$175 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC

New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC

44%

New York City FC

$0 Vol.

$206 Liq.

Ends in 21 days

New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC

New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC

46%

New York City FC

$0 Vol.

$216 Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Precipitation in NYC in April?

Precipitation in NYC in April?

59%

<2"

$46.5K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?

9%

$45.6K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?

Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?

67%

$3.8K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Will anyone propose at the Met Gala?

Will anyone propose at the Met Gala?

12%

$861 Vol.

$468 Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?

99%

Miami

$217K Vol.

$43.7K Liq.

13

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like New York City.

Polymarket currently hosts 210 active markets for New York City that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Lowest temperature in NYC on April 15?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 80% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on New York City predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.