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Economy·Big Tech

Largest Company end of March?

Market icon
Economy·Big Tech

Largest Company end of March?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

Dec 31

NVIDIA 99.8%

Apple <1%

Alphabet <1%

Tesla <1%

Polymarket

$17,531,105 Vol.

NVIDIA 99.8%

Apple <1%

Alphabet <1%

Tesla <1%

Polymarket

$17,531,105 Vol.

Market icon

NVIDIA

$2,266,005 Vol.

100%

Market icon

Apple

$1,285,905 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Alphabet

$1,262,551 Vol.

<1%

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Tesla

$3,580,603 Vol.

<1%

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Amazon

$4,547,723 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Microsoft

$2,557,946 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Saudi Aramco

$2,031,388 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$17,531,105
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 4:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

NVIDIA commands a 99.8% implied probability of retaining the world's largest market capitalization by end of March, fueled by explosive data center revenue growth exceeding $30 billion in its latest quarter, driven by unrelenting AI accelerator demand from hyperscalers like Microsoft and Amazon. Shares have surged over 20% in the past 30 days amid Blackwell chip production ramps and analyst upgrades lifting the price target to $175, widening the gap versus Apple's consumer slowdown and Microsoft's Azure margin pressures. Trader consensus reflects real-money bets on sustained AI capex outpacing peers, though a sharp U.S. economic downturn, China export curbs, or rival AMD breakthroughs could trigger a valuation reset challenging this positioning. Key watch: February Fed meeting and Q1 earnings season.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Largest Company end of March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NVIDIA" at 100%, followed by "Apple" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Largest Company end of March?" has generated $17.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Largest Company end of March?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Largest Company end of March?" is "NVIDIA" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Largest Company end of March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.