How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?

Name: How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?
Start: 2025-12-31T12:00:00.000Z
End: 2025-12-31T12:00:00.000Z

$1,100,397 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025

4.0%
$214,919 Vol.
Yes

3.9%
$32,244 Vol.
No

3.8%
$13,496 Vol.
No

3.7%
$10,213 Vol.
No

3.6%
$17,101 Vol.
No

3.5%
$462,391 Vol.
No

3.0%
$262,915 Vol.
No

2.0%
$39,893 Vol.
No

1.0%
$47,224 Vol.
No

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between February 24 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?

$1,100,397 Vol.

4.0%

$214,919 Vol.

Yes

3.9%

$32,244 Vol.

3.8%

$13,496 Vol.

3.7%

$10,213 Vol.

3.6%

$17,101 Vol.

3.5%

$462,391 Vol.

3.0%

$262,915 Vol.

2.0%

$39,893 Vol.

1.0%

$47,224 Vol.

About

Volume

$1,100,397

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Created At

Feb 25, 2025, 4:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

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12%

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