Name: How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?
Start: 2025-04-09T07:06:41.095729Z
End: 2025-12-31T12:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between April 9 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

4.5%

4.6%

4.8%

5.0%

5.2%

5.5%

5.7%

6.0%

10-year Treasur

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

There are no tweets provided for analysis at this time. Without content to summarize, no key events or sentiments can be reported.

No Tweets Available

No significant events or updates have been reported in the current data set. Further information is needed to assess any key influences on market activity.

Market News Update

There are no tweets provided for analysis at this time. Without specific content to summarize, no key events or sentiments can be reported.

No specific events or news are available at this moment to summarize due to the absence of tweet data. Further updates will be provided as information becomes available.

Market Update Pending

There are no tweets or social media activity provided for analysis at this time. Without data, no specific events or sentiments can be summarized or assessed.

No Activity Reported

Due to the absence of specific tweets or data provided for analysis, no detailed summary of events or sentiments can be generated. Please provide relevant social media content or other data to enable a comprehensive overview of the situation.

Market Event Summary

No significant events or updates were reported in the analyzed data. The absence of notable activity suggests a period of stability or lack of major influencing factors at this time.

There are no tweets provided for analysis at this time. Please provide relevant social media content to generate a summary and title.

No Updates Available

No significant social media activity or specific events were reported in the provided data to summarize. Further information is needed to assess the context behind any market price movements.

No significant events or updates have been reported in the provided data. Further information is needed to assess any impact on market movements.

There are no tweets or social media activity provided for analysis at this time. Without data, no summary or context regarding market price movement can be generated.

No significant events or updates have been reported in the provided data. The absence of information suggests a potential lack of impactful news influencing current market conditions.

No significant events or updates have been reported in the current data set. Further monitoring is required to identify any impactful news or developments.

No significant social media activity or specific events were reported in the provided data to explain recent market movements. Further analysis of other sources may be required to understand the influencing factors.

No significant events or updates are available at this time due to the absence of relevant social media content. Further monitoring is required to capture any emerging news or developments.

No tweets are available for analysis at this time. Further updates will be provided as new information or social media activity emerges.

This market will resolve to “Yes”  if the Treasury 10-year yield on on April 18, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).


10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?

This market will resolve to according to the Treasury 10-year yield on on April 11, 2025 according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

10-year Treasury yield on Friday?

This is a market on whether the yield of the United States 10-Year Treasury Bond reaches greater than 5.000% between December 28 and market close on June 30, 2025.

If the yield of the US 10-Year T-Bond is greater than 5.000% at any time between between December 28, 2024 and market close on June 30 2025, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be investing.com's reporting found at https://www.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10-year-bond-yield-historical-data. The resolution will be based on the values listed in the column labelled “High” in rows titled by dates within this market's timeframe.

US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between April 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in April?

This market will resolve to “Yes”  if the Treasury 10-year yield on April 25, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).


10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?

This market will resolve to “Yes”  if the Treasury 10-year yield on May 2, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).


10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?

This market will resolve to “Yes”  if the Treasury 10-year yield on May 9, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).


This market will resolve to “Yes”  if the Treasury 10-year yield on May 16, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).


This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on May 23, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

10-year Treasury yield >4.5% next Friday?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on June 6, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on June 13, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on July 18, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on July 4, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on June 27, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on July 11, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on June 20, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on August 8, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on July 25, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on August 1, 2025 is greater than 4.40% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on August 29, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on September 12, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on August 15, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on August 22, 2025 is greater than 4.30% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

This market will resolve according to the company in the Nasdaq-100 that achieves the highest performance during calendar year 2025.

Performance will be measured as the percentage change in each specified security's price during this market's timeframe, calculated by comparing the closing price for the last official trading day prior to this timeframe (December 31, 2024) to the closing price for the last official trading day within this timeframe (December 31, 2025).

All companies that are constituents of the Nasdaq-100 as of market issuance will be eligible for consideration, regardless of whether they are removed before the market's resolution date. Any company added to the index after market creation will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be the “Historical Quotes” page for the specified ticker on Nasdaq at: nasdaq.com.

Only closing prices will be used for all calculations; total return measures will not be applied.

If multiple specified companies exhibit exactly the same highest performance, the market will resolve to the company whose ticker appears first in alphabetical order.

If any unspecified company achieves the highest performance during the relevant period, the market will resolve to “Other”.

If either of the relevant trading days are shortened, the official closing price published for that session will be used.

If any relevant day lacks a specified closing price, the last valid historical closing price offered by the resolution source will be used.

Updates to historical prices displayed after resolution will not be considered.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

4.6%
$1,229,091 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

4.8%
$851,018 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

5.0%
$785,909 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

5.2%
$1,116,634 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

5.5%
$235,646 Vol.
<1%

5.7%
$533,086 Vol.
<1%

6.0%
$454,626 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Market Context

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

Rules

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

Market Context

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

About

Related

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

4.6%$1,229,091 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.9¢buy No99.4¢

4.8%$851,018 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes1.6¢buy No99.3¢

5.0%$785,909 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.8¢buy No99.5¢

5.2%$1,116,634 Vol.1%0123456789%buy Yes0.7¢buy No99.6¢

5.5%$235,646 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.4¢buy No99.9¢

5.7%$533,086 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

6.0%$454,626 Vol.<1%0123456789%buy Yes0.4¢buy No99.8¢

Market Context

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

Rules

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

Market Context

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?

About

Related

4.6%
$1,229,091 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

4.8%
$851,018 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

5.0%
$785,909 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

5.2%
$1,116,634 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

5.5%
$235,646 Vol.
<1%

5.7%
$533,086 Vol.
<1%

6.0%
$454,626 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%