Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 32°C at 57.5% implied probability for Singapore's highest temperature on March 29, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest 24-hour forecast projecting daytime highs up to 34°C amid afternoon thundery showers over northern, western, and central areas, which typically cap peaks through convective cloud cover and gusty winds. Recent observations align, with 33°C recorded on March 26 and 32°C on March 28 at official stations, reflecting inter-monsoon variability—light variable winds (5-15 km/h), high humidity (60-95%), and frequent showers suppressing extremes despite warm sea surface temperatures. The 25.5% odds on 31°C account for potential intensified convection, while 33°C at 10.5% hinges on delayed showers; NEA's overnight updates could shift model consensus. Historical March averages near 31°C provide baseline context, though late-month advisories flagged 34-35°C risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on March 29?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 29?
32°C 59%
31°C 26%
33°C 11%
30°C 8.5%
$54,724 Vol.
$54,724 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C
59%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
31°C 26%
33°C 11%
30°C 8.5%
$54,724 Vol.
$54,724 Vol.
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C
59%
33°C
11%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 32°C at 57.5% implied probability for Singapore's highest temperature on March 29, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest 24-hour forecast projecting daytime highs up to 34°C amid afternoon thundery showers over northern, western, and central areas, which typically cap peaks through convective cloud cover and gusty winds. Recent observations align, with 33°C recorded on March 26 and 32°C on March 28 at official stations, reflecting inter-monsoon variability—light variable winds (5-15 km/h), high humidity (60-95%), and frequent showers suppressing extremes despite warm sea surface temperatures. The 25.5% odds on 31°C account for potential intensified convection, while 33°C at 10.5% hinges on delayed showers; NEA's overnight updates could shift model consensus. Historical March averages near 31°C provide baseline context, though late-month advisories flagged 34-35°C risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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