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Highest temperature in Houston on March 28?

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Highest temperature in Houston on March 28?

74-75°F 100.0%

67°F or below <1%

68-69°F <1%

70-71°F <1%

Polymarket

$73,874 Vol.

74-75°F 100.0%

67°F or below <1%

68-69°F <1%

70-71°F <1%

Polymarket

$73,874 Vol.

67°F or below

$5,293 Vol.

No

68-69°F

$2,397 Vol.

No

70-71°F

$2,507 Vol.

No

72-73°F

$6,553 Vol.

No

74-75°F

$7,742 Vol.

Yes

76-77°F

$5,195 Vol.

No

78-79°F

$4,327 Vol.

No

80-81°F

$5,002 Vol.

No

82-83°F

$8,548 Vol.

No

84-85°F

$13,330 Vol.

No

86°F or higher

$12,981 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 74-75°F at virtually 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature on March 28, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recording a daily maximum of 74°F amid a weak cold frontal passage. This cooling influence followed a record-hot March pattern, with earlier days like March 26 reaching 82°F, but drier northerly flow and increased cloud cover capped highs well below climatological norms of around 76°F. Supporting evidence includes consistent hourly data from NOAA-affiliated stations showing peak warmth mid-afternoon before evening stabilization. Realistic challenges—such as rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits—are improbable given finalized preliminary reports, solidifying market resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 74-75°F at virtually 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature on March 28, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recording a daily maximum of 74°F amid a weak cold frontal passage. This cooling influence followed a record-hot March pattern, with earlier days like March 26 reaching 82°F, but drier northerly flow and increased cloud cover capped highs well below climatological norms of around 76°F. Supporting evidence includes consistent hourly data from NOAA-affiliated stations showing peak warmth mid-afternoon before evening stabilization. Realistic challenges—such as rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits—are improbable given finalized preliminary reports, solidifying market resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 74-75°F at virtually 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature on March 28, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recording a daily maximum of 74°F amid a weak cold frontal passage. This cooling influence followed a record-hot March pattern, with earlier days like March 26 reaching 82°F, but drier northerly flow and increased cloud cover capped highs well below climatological norms of around 76°F. Supporting evidence includes consistent hourly data from NOAA-affiliated stations showing peak warmth mid-afternoon before evening stabilization. Realistic challenges—such as rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits—are improbable given finalized preliminary reports, solidifying market resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 74-75°F at virtually 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature on March 28, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) recording a daily maximum of 74°F amid a weak cold frontal passage. This cooling influence followed a record-hot March pattern, with earlier days like March 26 reaching 82°F, but drier northerly flow and increased cloud cover capped highs well below climatological norms of around 76°F. Supporting evidence includes consistent hourly data from NOAA-affiliated stations showing peak warmth mid-afternoon before evening stabilization. Realistic challenges—such as rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits—are improbable given finalized preliminary reports, solidifying market resolution.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Houston on March 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "74-75°F" at 100%, followed by "67°F or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Houston on March 28?" has generated $73.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Houston on March 28?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Houston on March 28?" is "74-75°F" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "67°F or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Houston on March 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.