Official observations from the Ministro Pistarini International Airport weather station, managed under Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) protocols, recorded a maximum temperature of 26°C in Buenos Aires on March 27, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This matched SMN's pre-event forecast of 19–26°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds inhibiting stronger daytime heating, consistent with March climatological averages of 25–27°C maxima amid neutral ENSO conditions. Ensemble model runs had converged on this range, reflecting low atmospheric instability. Realistic challenges would involve rare post-measurement revisions, such as sensor recalibration uncovering a brief 27°C spike, though preliminary hourly data and quality controls make this improbable; final SMN validation expected within 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$95,727 Vol.
$95,727 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$95,727 Vol.
$95,727 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Ministro Pistarini International Airport weather station, managed under Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) protocols, recorded a maximum temperature of 26°C in Buenos Aires on March 27, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This matched SMN's pre-event forecast of 19–26°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds inhibiting stronger daytime heating, consistent with March climatological averages of 25–27°C maxima amid neutral ENSO conditions. Ensemble model runs had converged on this range, reflecting low atmospheric instability. Realistic challenges would involve rare post-measurement revisions, such as sensor recalibration uncovering a brief 27°C spike, though preliminary hourly data and quality controls make this improbable; final SMN validation expected within 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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