Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Greta Thunberg released from custody by Friday?

$55,475 Vol.

>99% chance

Rules

Greta Thunberg was detained by the Israel Defense Forces on June 9, 2025, after the aid boat Madleen, on which she was traveling to deliver humanitarian aid to Gaza, was intercepted and diverted to Ashdod port (see: https://www.foxnews.com/world/idf-detains-gaza-bound-vessel-carrying-greta-thunberg-the-show-over).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is released from custody by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Thunberg is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

If Thunberg is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Thunberg to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$55,475
End Date
Jun 13, 2025
Created At
Jun 9, 2025, 5:00 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$55,475 Vol.

Market icon

Greta Thunberg released from custody by Friday?

>99% chance

About

Greta Thunberg was detained by the Israel Defense Forces on June 9, 2025, after the aid boat Madleen, on which she was traveling to deliver humanitarian aid to Gaza, was intercepted and diverted to Ashdod port (see: https://www.foxnews.com/world/idf-detains-gaza-bound-vessel-carrying-greta-thunberg-the-show-over).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is released from custody by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Thunberg is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

If Thunberg is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Thunberg to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$55,475
End Date
Jun 13, 2025
Created At
Jun 9, 2025, 5:00 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

shield

Beware of external links.