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Politics·House Primary

GA-11 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·House Primary

GA-11 Republican Primary Winner

Chris Mora 42%

Lisa Carlquist 41%

John Hobbs 41%

John Cowan 41%

Polymarket
NEW

Chris Mora 42%

Lisa Carlquist 41%

John Hobbs 41%

John Cowan 41%

Polymarket
NEW

Chris Mora

$0 Vol.

42%

Lisa Carlquist

$0 Vol.

41%

John Hobbs

$0 Vol.

41%

John Cowan

$0 Vol.

41%

Rob Adkerson

$0 Vol.

31%

Tricia Pridemore

$311 Vol.

28%

William Brown

$127 Vol.

12%

Uloma Ekpete Kama

$115 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices Chris Mora, Lisa Carlquist, John Hobbs, and John Cowan as virtual dead heats at 42-46% in the GA-11 Republican primary, reflecting an open-seat contest after Rep. Barry Loudermilk's February retirement announcement created a crowded field of over 10 contenders with no dominant frontrunner. Recent candidate forums in Cherokee County (March 20) and Bartow County (March 24) highlighted these leaders—a business owner (Carlquist, backed by Veterans for America First), neurosurgeon John Cowan (2020 primary veteran), machinist Hobbs, and Mora (endorsed locally by DA James Wood)—but failed to produce separation amid sparse public polling. Dynamics stay tight due to limited visibility and low early momentum; catalysts like Trump-style endorsements (potent in recent Georgia specials), Q1 FEC fundraising reports, or breakout debate performances could tip balances before May 19 primary and late-April early voting.

Trader consensus prices Chris Mora, Lisa Carlquist, John Hobbs, and John Cowan as virtual dead heats at 42-46% in the GA-11 Republican primary, reflecting an open-seat contest after Rep. Barry Loudermilk's February retirement announcement created a crowded field of over 10 contenders with no dominant frontrunner. Recent candidate forums in Cherokee County (March 20) and Bartow County (March 24) highlighted these leaders—a business owner (Carlquist, backed by Veterans for America First), neurosurgeon John Cowan (2020 primary veteran), machinist Hobbs, and Mora (endorsed locally by DA James Wood)—but failed to produce separation amid sparse public polling. Dynamics stay tight due to limited visibility and low early momentum; catalysts like Trump-style endorsements (potent in recent Georgia specials), Q1 FEC fundraising reports, or breakout debate performances could tip balances before May 19 primary and late-April early voting.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus prices Chris Mora, Lisa Carlquist, John Hobbs, and John Cowan as virtual dead heats at 42-46% in the GA-11 Republican primary, reflecting an open-seat contest after Rep. Barry Loudermilk's February retirement announcement created a crowded field of over 10 contenders with no dominant frontrunner. Recent candidate forums in Cherokee County (March 20) and Bartow County (March 24) highlighted these leaders—a business owner (Carlquist, backed by Veterans for America First), neurosurgeon John Cowan (2020 primary veteran), machinist Hobbs, and Mora (endorsed locally by DA James Wood)—but failed to produce separation amid sparse public polling. Dynamics stay tight due to limited visibility and low early momentum; catalysts like Trump-style endorsements (potent in recent Georgia specials), Q1 FEC fundraising reports, or breakout debate performances could tip balances before May 19 primary and late-April early voting.

Trader consensus prices Chris Mora, Lisa Carlquist, John Hobbs, and John Cowan as virtual dead heats at 42-46% in the GA-11 Republican primary, reflecting an open-seat contest after Rep. Barry Loudermilk's February retirement announcement created a crowded field of over 10 contenders with no dominant frontrunner. Recent candidate forums in Cherokee County (March 20) and Bartow County (March 24) highlighted these leaders—a business owner (Carlquist, backed by Veterans for America First), neurosurgeon John Cowan (2020 primary veteran), machinist Hobbs, and Mora (endorsed locally by DA James Wood)—but failed to produce separation amid sparse public polling. Dynamics stay tight due to limited visibility and low early momentum; catalysts like Trump-style endorsements (potent in recent Georgia specials), Q1 FEC fundraising reports, or breakout debate performances could tip balances before May 19 primary and late-April early voting.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-11 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chris Mora" at 42%, followed by "Lisa Carlquist" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"GA-11 Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "GA-11 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-11 Republican Primary Winner" is "Chris Mora" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lisa Carlquist" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-11 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.