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Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01

icon for Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01

Stefany Shaheen 76%

Maura Sullivan 17%

Heath Howard 10.5%

Carleigh Beriont 3.1%

Polymarket

$16,559 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen 76%

Maura Sullivan 17%

Heath Howard 10.5%

Carleigh Beriont 3.1%

Polymarket

$16,559 Vol.

Stefany Shaheen

$9,665 Vol.

76%

Maura Sullivan

$4,096 Vol.

17%

Heath Howard

$728 Vol.

11%

Carleigh Beriont

$2,071 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Stefany Shaheen holds a clear lead in the NH-01 Democratic primary market due to her substantial name recognition as the daughter of U.S. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, combined with early fundraising exceeding $1.8 million and endorsements from local officials, unions, and healthcare advocates.** The open seat, created after Rep. Chris Pappas launched a Senate bid, drew a competitive field including Maura Sullivan, a Marine veteran and former Obama administration official with prior congressional experience who emphasizes veterans’ issues, and Heath Howard, a state representative focused on progressive priorities. Carleigh Beriont brings local selectboard and labor experience but trails significantly. Recent candidate forums in May 2026 and the mid-June filing deadline closure reinforced Shaheen’s organizational edge, with no major polling or event-driven shifts reported since earlier surveys showed her ahead amid high undecided shares. The September 8 primary remains the resolution trigger.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$16,559
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Stefany Shaheen holds a clear lead in the NH-01 Democratic primary market due to her substantial name recognition as the daughter of U.S. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, combined with early fundraising exceeding $1.8 million and endorsements from local officials, unions, and healthcare advocates.** The open seat, created after Rep. Chris Pappas launched a Senate bid, drew a competitive field including Maura Sullivan, a Marine veteran and former Obama administration official with prior congressional experience who emphasizes veterans’ issues, and Heath Howard, a state representative focused on progressive priorities. Carleigh Beriont brings local selectboard and labor experience but trails significantly. Recent candidate forums in May 2026 and the mid-June filing deadline closure reinforced Shaheen’s organizational edge, with no major polling or event-driven shifts reported since earlier surveys showed her ahead amid high undecided shares. The September 8 primary remains the resolution trigger.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$16,559
Fecha de finalización
8 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Stefany Shaheen" con 76%, seguido de "Maura Sullivan" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 76¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" ha generado $16.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" es "Stefany Shaheen" con 76%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Maura Sullivan" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del NH-01" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.