Israel's 37.5% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote winner reflects trader consensus on their unmatched public voting dominance, highlighted by topping the 2024 televote amid massive diaspora support from Europe, the US, and Australia despite geopolitical tensions. Greece (17.5%) and Finland (16.5%) trail closely, buoyed by recent televote surges—Greece's consistent Balkan bloc voting and Finland's lingering Käärijä-fueled hype from 2023. With 2025's Basel contest fresh and 2026 hosts undecided pending its winner, early odds hinge on historical patterns rather than confirmed entries, as national finals won't kick off until late 2025; traders anticipate repeat fan favorites amid streaming virality and social media buzz driving public sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 38%
Greece 18%
Finland 17%
France 5.7%
$495,415 Vol.
$495,415 Vol.

Israel
38%

Greece
18%

Finland
17%

France
6%

Poland
4%

Denmark
3%

Moldova
3%

Ukraine
3%

Sweden
2%

Romania
2%

Switzerland
2%

Italy
2%

Luxembourg
1%

Estonia
1%

Belgium
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Croatia
1%

Lithuania
1%

Germany
1%

Malta
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Latvia
<1%

Bulgaria
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 38%
Greece 18%
Finland 17%
France 5.7%
$495,415 Vol.
$495,415 Vol.

Israel
38%

Greece
18%

Finland
17%

France
6%

Poland
4%

Denmark
3%

Moldova
3%

Ukraine
3%

Sweden
2%

Romania
2%

Switzerland
2%

Italy
2%

Luxembourg
1%

Estonia
1%

Belgium
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Croatia
1%

Lithuania
1%

Germany
1%

Malta
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Latvia
<1%

Bulgaria
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel's 37.5% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 televote winner reflects trader consensus on their unmatched public voting dominance, highlighted by topping the 2024 televote amid massive diaspora support from Europe, the US, and Australia despite geopolitical tensions. Greece (17.5%) and Finland (16.5%) trail closely, buoyed by recent televote surges—Greece's consistent Balkan bloc voting and Finland's lingering Käärijä-fueled hype from 2023. With 2025's Basel contest fresh and 2026 hosts undecided pending its winner, early odds hinge on historical patterns rather than confirmed entries, as national finals won't kick off until late 2025; traders anticipate repeat fan favorites amid streaming virality and social media buzz driving public sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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