Israel leads the Eurovision 2026 televote winner market at 38% implied probability, driven by its powerhouse public voting history—topping the 2024 televote with Eden Golan amid massive diaspora and fan support, despite jury backlash. Greece (18%) and Finland (16.5%) trail closely, buoyed by recent strong televote showings (Greece second in 2024, Finland's metal-pop appeal in 2023-24) and early buzz around national selection frontrunners like potential returns from Marina Satti or blind channel-style acts. With 2026 host city unannounced post-2025 Basel contest, trader sentiment hinges on historical patterns and diaspora mobilization, as national finals kick off in early 2026; no confirmed entries yet temper volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedEurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner
Israel 38%
Greece 18%
Finland 17%
France 5.8%
$495,498 Vol.
$495,498 Vol.

Israel
38%

Greece
18%

Finland
17%

France
6%

Poland
4%

Denmark
3%

Moldova
3%

Ukraine
3%

Sweden
2%

Italy
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Romania
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Malta
1%

Lithuania
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Croatia
1%

Germany
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Latvia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 38%
Greece 18%
Finland 17%
France 5.8%
$495,498 Vol.
$495,498 Vol.

Israel
38%

Greece
18%

Finland
17%

France
6%

Poland
4%

Denmark
3%

Moldova
3%

Ukraine
3%

Sweden
2%

Italy
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Romania
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belgium
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Malta
1%

Lithuania
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Croatia
1%

Germany
1%

United Kingdom
1%

Latvia
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Norway
<1%

Cyprus
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Market Opened: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Israel leads the Eurovision 2026 televote winner market at 38% implied probability, driven by its powerhouse public voting history—topping the 2024 televote with Eden Golan amid massive diaspora and fan support, despite jury backlash. Greece (18%) and Finland (16.5%) trail closely, buoyed by recent strong televote showings (Greece second in 2024, Finland's metal-pop appeal in 2023-24) and early buzz around national selection frontrunners like potential returns from Marina Satti or blind channel-style acts. With 2026 host city unannounced post-2025 Basel contest, trader sentiment hinges on historical patterns and diaspora mobilization, as national finals kick off in early 2026; no confirmed entries yet temper volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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