Anthropic released Claude Opus 4.7 on April 16, 2026, its most capable model yet, excelling in coding, agentic workflows, vision tasks, and sustained reasoning while introducing safeguards against high-risk cybersecurity uses like exploits. This launch follows a March code leak exposing Opus 4.7 references alongside unreleased features such as persistent agents (Kairos) and multi-agent orchestration, fueling trader anticipation amid competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT series and xAI's Grok. Market-implied odds surged on pre-release rumors of a "this week" drop, validated by the announcement; traders now eye rapid integrations into Claude Code and potential Mythos previews for enterprise, with developer benchmarks expected to confirm its edge in software engineering tasks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$358,622 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
March 15
No
March 31
No
April 17
Yes
April 24
Yes
April 30
Yes
May 31
Yes
June 30
Yes
$358,622 Vol.
March 15
$0 Vol.
No
March 31
$39,324 Vol.
No
April 17
$87,486 Vol.
Yes
April 24
$29,382 Vol.
Yes
April 30
$26,362 Vol.
Yes
May 31
$100,098 Vol.
Yes
June 30
$75,970 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Opus 4.7 on April 16, 2026, its most capable model yet, excelling in coding, agentic workflows, vision tasks, and sustained reasoning while introducing safeguards against high-risk cybersecurity uses like exploits. This launch follows a March code leak exposing Opus 4.7 references alongside unreleased features such as persistent agents (Kairos) and multi-agent orchestration, fueling trader anticipation amid competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT series and xAI's Grok. Market-implied odds surged on pre-release rumors of a "this week" drop, validated by the announcement; traders now eye rapid integrations into Claude Code and potential Mythos previews for enterprise, with developer benchmarks expected to confirm its edge in software engineering tasks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$358,622End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Opus 4.7 on April 16, 2026, its most capable model yet, excelling in coding, agentic workflows, vision tasks, and sustained reasoning while introducing safeguards against high-risk cybersecurity uses like exploits. This launch follows a March code leak exposing Opus 4.7 references alongside unreleased features such as persistent agents (Kairos) and multi-agent orchestration, fueling trader anticipation amid competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT series and xAI's Grok. Market-implied odds surged on pre-release rumors of a "this week" drop, validated by the announcement; traders now eye rapid integrations into Claude Code and potential Mythos previews for enterprise, with developer benchmarks expected to confirm its edge in software engineering tasks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$358,622End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Anthropic released Claude Opus 4.7 on April 16, 2026, its most capable model yet, excelling in coding, agentic workflows, vision tasks, and sustained reasoning while introducing safeguards against high-risk cybersecurity uses like exploits. This launch follows a March code leak exposing Opus 4.7 references alongside unreleased features such as persistent agents (Kairos) and multi-agent orchestration, fueling trader anticipation amid competitive pressure from OpenAI's GPT series and xAI's Grok. Market-implied odds surged on pre-release rumors of a "this week" drop, validated by the announcement; traders now eye rapid integrations into Claude Code and potential Mythos previews for enterprise, with developer benchmarks expected to confirm its edge in software engineering tasks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions