California's 11th Congressional District, encompassing most of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in voter registration of 64% Democrats versus 7% Republicans. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades has prompted a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while no viable Republican candidates have emerged to contest the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the incumbent's 81% victory margin in 2024. Trader consensus on a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, including the absence of competitive opposition and local voter patterns. A Republican win would require a major realignment in sentiment or turnout not indicated by current registration or polling data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,127 Vol.
95%
共和党
$921 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th Congressional District, encompassing most of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in voter registration of 64% Democrats versus 7% Republicans. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades has prompted a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while no viable Republican candidates have emerged to contest the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the incumbent's 81% victory margin in 2024. Trader consensus on a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, including the absence of competitive opposition and local voter patterns. A Republican win would require a major realignment in sentiment or turnout not indicated by current registration or polling data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$4,048終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th Congressional District, encompassing most of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in voter registration of 64% Democrats versus 7% Republicans. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades has prompted a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while no viable Republican candidates have emerged to contest the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the incumbent's 81% victory margin in 2024. Trader consensus on a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, including the absence of competitive opposition and local voter patterns. A Republican win would require a major realignment in sentiment or turnout not indicated by current registration or polling data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,048終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th Congressional District, encompassing most of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in voter registration of 64% Democrats versus 7% Republicans. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades has prompted a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while no viable Republican candidates have emerged to contest the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the incumbent's 81% victory margin in 2024. Trader consensus on a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, including the absence of competitive opposition and local voter patterns. A Republican win would require a major realignment in sentiment or turnout not indicated by current registration or polling data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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