Republican Tom McClintock holds the CA-05 seat in a district with an R+8 to R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent McClintock faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while the Democratic field remains fragmented among lesser-known candidates with limited fundraising and recruitment. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 83% Republican implied probability. The November general election timeline and absence of major late developments keep the outcome stable absent an unexpected primary upset or broader national shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
17%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,891 交易量
83%
民主党
$1,493 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Tom McClintock holds the CA-05 seat in a district with an R+8 to R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent McClintock faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while the Democratic field remains fragmented among lesser-known candidates with limited fundraising and recruitment. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 83% Republican implied probability. The November general election timeline and absence of major late developments keep the outcome stable absent an unexpected primary upset or broader national shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$5,384结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Tom McClintock holds the CA-05 seat in a district with an R+8 to R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent McClintock faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while the Democratic field remains fragmented among lesser-known candidates with limited fundraising and recruitment. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 83% Republican implied probability. The November general election timeline and absence of major late developments keep the outcome stable absent an unexpected primary upset or broader national shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,384结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Tom McClintock holds the CA-05 seat in a district with an R+8 to R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent McClintock faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, while the Democratic field remains fragmented among lesser-known candidates with limited fundraising and recruitment. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the current 83% Republican implied probability. The November general election timeline and absence of major late developments keep the outcome stable absent an unexpected primary upset or broader national shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题