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Australia Election: Seat of Brisbane

Market icon

Australia Election: Seat of Brisbane

Labor 100.0%

One Nation <1%

People First <1%

FUSION <1%

Polymarket

$140,122 Vol.

Labor 100.0%

One Nation <1%

People First <1%

FUSION <1%

Polymarket

$140,122 Vol.

One Nation

$363 Vol.

No

People First

$44 Vol.

No

Labor

$7,836 Vol.

Yes

FUSION

$79 Vol.

No

Family First

$46 Vol.

No

The Greens

$129,528 Vol.

No

Liberal National

$2,175 Vol.

No

Trumpet of Patriots

$51 Vol.

No

Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election.

This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other".

Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$140,122
End Date
May 3, 2025
Market Opened
Apr 15, 2025, 6:34 PM ET
Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Australia Election: Seat of Brisbane" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Labor" at 100%, followed by "One Nation" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Australia Election: Seat of Brisbane" has generated $140.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Australia Election: Seat of Brisbane," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Australia Election: Seat of Brisbane" is "Labor" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "One Nation" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Australia Election: Seat of Brisbane" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.